NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	99		Excitement	6.0 [632]		MVP	Jodie Meeks (PHI): +28.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	94		Comeback	67.0 [15]		LVP	Lou Williams (PHI): -9.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.2,0.28	0.10	0.21	0.02	11	67%	0.33	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.07
Rudy Gay	0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,0,0.14,0.14	-0.01	0.14	-0.01	15	50%	0.19	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sam Young	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	9	63%	0.15	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	8	60%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Xavier Henry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	43%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Greivis Vasquez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	39%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	15	41%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28	0.28	0.12	0.10	-0.06	10	76%	0.29	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	63%	0.13	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	54%	0.06	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	73%	0.12	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	14	47%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	9	41%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	26.5	15.8	25.1	1.7	46.1	143.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -12.4%

MEM +26.9%

MEM +6.8%

MEM +29.8%

PHI -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHI	NBA	MEM	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.6	15.5	106.5	103.3	105.7
season	15.5	15.5		106.1	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.4	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.3	16.5	18.0	12.7	15.7
PHI	15.7	16.3	16.3	14.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Young	56	57	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.40	12	-7	19	15.7	15.7	0.02	14.9	16.8	-1.83
Marc Gasol	62	63	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.53	7	-2	9	16.0	15.1	0.89	15.6	15.7	-0.19
Mike Conley	74	73	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.47	6	-1	7	15.3	17.4	-2.11	15.3	16.9	-1.66
Zach Randolph	64	63	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.55	1	4	-3	15.0	17.2	-2.21	14.3	18.5	-4.22
Rudy Gay	79	78	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.58	-3	8	-11	15.4	17.2	-1.80	15.1	18.5	-3.41
Hasheem Thabeet	20	18	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.24	9	-4	13	16.2	15.5	0.72	17.8	15.1	2.76
Xavier Henry	13	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.17	1	4	-3	17.8	15.3	2.42	16.7	15.4	1.31
Greivis Vasquez	19	18	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.11	-1	6	-7	17.4	15.3	2.11	16.9	15.3	1.66
Tony Allen	41	37	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.11	-3	8	-11	14.4	16.7	-2.23	16.7	14.9	1.79
Darrell Arthur	37	36	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.13	-4	9	-13	17.3	14.6	2.67	17.6	14.3	3.21

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	47	50	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.15	2	-7	9	14.7	16.6	-1.98	14.0	17.7	-3.69
Spencer Hawes	34	34	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.08	4	-9	13	17.1	14.8	2.30	16.1	15.4	0.68
Tony Battie	10	9	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.00	3	-8	11	12.3	16.0	-3.72	9.3	16.4	-7.04
Evan Turner	38	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.19	-7	2	-9	16.0	15.3	0.71	16.3	15.3	1.06
Marreese Speights	18	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-2	-1	15.4	15.7	-0.21	16.8	15.4	1.38
Elton Brand	75	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.52	2	-7	9	15.5	16.1	-0.62	15.9	14.4	1.51
Andre Iguodala	74	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.55	3	-8	11	15.1	17.7	-2.57	15.8	15.3	0.44
Jrue Holiday	72	74	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.40	-8	3	-11	16.1	13.8	2.24	15.5	16.4	-0.92
Lou Williams	47	50	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.43	-9	4	-13	15.0	16.2	-1.23	15.0	16.5	-1.53
Thaddeus Young	42	42	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.33	-14	9	-23	16.3	15.0	1.24	17.5	14.2	3.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.75,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.84,0.68,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, PHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.72,0.78,0.72,0	90.7%
UTA 112, ATL 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.5,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.34,0.15,0	90.2%
IND 103, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.78,0.57,0.58,0	89.6%