NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	134		Excitement	12.1 [18]		MVP	Isaiah Roby (OKC): +81.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	131		Comeback	108.9 [20]		LVP	Aleksej Pokusevski (OKC): -26.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Roby	0.81	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.73,0.81	0.23	0.63	0.04	13	88%	0.86	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.06
Aaron Wiggins	0.29	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.29	0.09	0.25	0.05	19	65%	0.37	4	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01
Vit Krejci	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.11	0.17	-0.00	6	100%	0.31	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Maledon	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,0.08,0.08,0.16	0.06	0.10	0.01	17	57%	0.24	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Olivier Sarr	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	71%	0.13	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Lindy Waters III	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.04	0.01	12	50%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aleksej Pokusevski	-0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26	-0.10	-0.17	-0.01	11	48%	0.02	6	-0.28	1	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.47	0.47	0.23	0.29	0.04	14	84%	0.49	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.12,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.17	0.11	-0.01	22	64%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	-0.00	7	71%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keljin Blevins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Elijah Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	26%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
CJ Elleby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	11	37%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.15	-0.15	0.03	-0.13	0.06	20	54%	0.04	3	-0.19	6	67%	-0.00
Keon Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.34,-0.23	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	0.02	19	45%	-0.03	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	25.0	14.6	23.5	2.0	37.0	2.4	14.6	145.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +105.2%

OKC +3.8%

POR -19.9%

POR -18.0%

POR -21.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	POR	NBA	OKC	POR	NBA
this game	13.8	15.6	14.5	125.2	120.2	110.8
season	14.4	14.6		103.2	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.4		115.6	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
OKC	14.2	12.3	16.0	13.5	12.4	13.8
POR	16.4	16.0	15.3	15.8	13.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vit Krejci	65	69	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.65	6	-3	9	14.1	13.3	0.74	14.7	17.2	-2.54
Aleksej Pokusevski	84	87	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.52	6	-3	9	13.4	15.3	-1.99	15.7	15.4	0.35
Aaron Wiggins	81	83	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.50	1	2	-1	13.6	14.4	-0.84	15.6	15.7	-0.07
Theo Maledon	78	80	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.37	4	-1	5	14.1	12.9	1.27	15.8	15.1	0.73
Isaiah Roby	74	77	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.37	3	0	3	14.2	12.9	1.22	15.9	15.1	0.73
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	31	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.08	1	2	-1	13.1	14.1	-1.01	15.4	15.8	-0.40
Lindy Waters III	51	49	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	6	-9	13.7	13.9	-0.19	15.7	15.6	0.02
Olivier Sarr	71	69	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.22	-3	6	-9	13.9	13.6	0.26	16.2	14.7	1.41

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elijah Hughes	54	56	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.20	-6	3	-9	16.3	15.0	1.37	14.2	13.3	0.86
Keljin Blevins	44	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-4	5	15.1	16.0	-0.89	13.1	14.3	-1.20
Brandon Williams	83	81	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-3	3	15.7	15.6	0.04	14.2	12.5	1.70
Kris Dunn	47	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-4	5	15.5	15.8	-0.31	13.7	13.8	-0.15
Ben McLemore	66	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.37	5	-8	13	15.3	16.1	-0.74	13.8	13.7	0.11
CJ Elleby	78	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.49	-2	-1	-1	15.8	15.4	0.40	14.1	13.1	1.01
Keon Johnson	88	86	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.45	-7	4	-11	15.7	15.3	0.44	13.4	15.2	-1.75
Drew Eubanks	85	82	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.48	-7	4	-11	15.6	15.8	-0.19	13.6	14.5	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.55,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 128, SAS 125	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.5,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.15,0	90.1%
IND 105, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.58,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.46,0.26,0.37,0.57,0.26,0	89.6%
DAL 108, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.77,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.22,0.17,0	89.4%