NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	10.1 [49]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +30.8%
Atlanta Hawks	102		Comeback	768.2 [2]		LVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): -45.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,0.31,0.43,0.35,0.26,0.26,0.31	-0.05	0.35	-0.02	16	47%	0.37	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.16,0.16	-0.01	0.17	-0.01	7	55%	0.20	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Dale Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	62%	0.08	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.02	12	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	16	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.06
Chris Mullin	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11	0.05	-0.13	0.03	11	79%	0.02	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22	-0.09	-0.12	0.01	5	36%	-0.16	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.15	0.12	0.00	7	100%	0.28	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	9	61%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.09	-0.00	11	57%	0.09	2	-0.04	13	62%	-0.08
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.03	-0.01	16	37%	0.00	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	13	38%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.14	0.00	12	38%	-0.14	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Steven Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.18	-0.09	-0.01	15	30%	-0.20	2	-0.07	7	71%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.45	-0.45	-0.21	-0.24	0.01	16	29%	-0.21	3	-0.24	6	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	20.8	1.8	25.2	15.6	26.5	2.3	37.5	2.3	14.8	146.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +76.3%

ATL -3.1%

ATL -38.6%

IND +14.0%

IND +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	16.4	15.6	104.0	102.0	102.5
season	16.0	16.1		105.3	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.1		101.5	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	14.4	15.6	13.5	15.3	21.0	15.2
ATL	17.6	13.8	18.6	16.0	16.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mullin	74	76	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-10	23	15.4	14.6	0.83	16.3	16.9	-0.61
Reggie Miller	84	83	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.31	12	-9	21	14.9	16.6	-1.74	16.7	15.2	1.53
Jalen Rose	36	35	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.75	-5	8	-13	15.7	14.9	0.73	16.3	16.5	-0.21
Mark Jackson	65	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-4	11	15.5	14.7	0.78	16.4	16.6	-0.23
Austin Croshere	12	13	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.40	-5	8	-13	16.7	15.0	1.76	13.2	16.9	-3.79
Dale Davis	69	69	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.15	7	-4	11	14.8	16.1	-1.27	16.4	16.5	-0.00
Derrick McKey	58	56	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	5	-7	15.8	14.3	1.52	16.2	16.8	-0.62
Travis Best	37	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	7	-11	14.5	15.6	-1.12	16.6	16.4	0.23
Mark Pope	4	4	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	11	-19	17.5	15.1	2.40	14.2	16.5	-2.29
Antonio Davis	66	64	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.20	0	3	-3	14.6	16.3	-1.66	17.4	14.7	2.66

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Brown	38	38	0.59	-1.09	1.68	0.06	18	-21	39	14.9	17.4	-2.51	15.8	14.8	0.95
Christian Laettner	41	44	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.16	2	-5	7	16.3	16.6	-0.31	15.6	14.9	0.74
Eldridge Recasner	49	48	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.27	11	-14	25	15.1	17.8	-2.72	15.1	15.3	-0.22
Dikembe Mutombo	77	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	5	-13	17.4	13.3	4.03	14.7	17.0	-2.28
Mookie Blaylock	86	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.52	2	-5	7	16.1	18.8	-2.72	15.4	13.9	1.56
Alan Henderson	81	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.56	3	-6	9	15.9	19.0	-3.15	15.7	13.5	2.17
Steven Smith	71	73	-0.95	0.45	-1.40	-0.30	-22	19	-41	17.7	13.5	4.18	14.7	16.4	-1.65
Tyrone Corbin	57	59	-1.16	0.66	-1.83	-0.55	-21	18	-39	17.5	15.1	2.38	14.9	15.6	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.58,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.46,0.26,0.37,0.57,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 118, ORL 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.52,0.74,0.68,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.83,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.08,0	88.4%
HOU 111, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.08,0	88.2%
LAL 74, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	88.0%