inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 111 Excitement9.1 [139] MVPBaron Davis (GSW): +22.5%
Golden State Warriors 105 Comeback79.7 [11] LVPJuwan Howard (HOU): -15.0%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luther Head0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21-0.070.280.00937%0.272-0.0610%-0.03
Ryan Bowen0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.140.060.090.011057%0.1400.003100%0.02
Derek Anderson0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.02-0.02580%0.1100.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.040.011844%0.0500.001662%-0.05
Stromile Swift0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.003100%0.072-0.0500%0.00
Yao Ming0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.010.08-0.040.021870%0.316-0.29786%0.02
Dikembe Mutombo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.020.00183%0.041-0.04475%-0.01
Stephen Graham0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
David Wesley-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,00.04-0.040.001268%0.244-0.25475%-0.00
Moochie Norris-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.040.0000%0.001-0.0600%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.13-0.03-0.0040%-0.083-0.0700%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Baron Davis0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.230.230.150.080.011960%0.2300.00786%0.00
Jason Richardson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.080.07-0.032654%0.211-0.0300%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.170.170.090.08-0.001065%0.1700.003100%0.04
Zarko Cabarkapa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ike Diogu00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andris Biedrins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00450%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00450%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.011027%-0.101-0.01250%-0.01
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.15-0.15-0.05-0.10-0.011546%0.003-0.151155%-0.09
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.03.431.618.527.33.838.51.714.5162.4
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +51.7%
HOU +7.9%
HOU +41.1%
GSW -55.9%
HOU +5.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUGSWNBAHOUGSWNBA
this game16.914.615.6108.8105.0104.4
season16.114.899.9102.9
opponent15.516.1104.0101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
HOU17.216.516.717.017.216.9
GSW13.316.212.117.214.214.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tracy McGrady90860.78-0.281.070.4013-72016.718.4-1.7314.614.6-0.08
Luther Head55530.70-0.200.910.5942217.116.70.4315.313.71.60
Yao Ming80810.490.010.480.258-21016.817.2-0.3714.116.7-2.68
David Wesley83830.470.030.440.3542217.016.30.7114.017.4-3.35
Stephen Graham110.330.170.160.3015-43.017.0-14.032.014.7-12.70
Ryan Bowen60580.150.35-0.200.0633018.015.32.6914.015.3-1.28
Moochie Norris11120.040.46-0.42-0.229-31214.417.2-2.8318.514.04.47
Stromile Swift34320.040.46-0.420.10-28-1016.317.2-0.9416.113.82.29
Dikembe Mutombo2219-0.040.54-0.580.02-28-1017.216.80.3716.714.12.68
Derek Anderson3535-0.080.58-0.65-0.1424-215.817.5-1.6615.813.91.85
Juwan Howard3940-0.390.89-1.29-0.10-1016-2617.716.41.3012.416.0-3.62

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Adonal Foyle27280.28-0.781.050.019-152411.115.8-4.6917.816.61.23
Mike Dunleavy82830.12-0.620.73-0.066-121814.216.1-1.8117.115.91.23
Andris Biedrins31300.11-0.610.710.19-3-3016.513.72.8716.816.9-0.13
Zarko Cabarkapa66-0.03-0.470.450.03-2-4217.314.42.9419.216.72.42
Ike Diogu77-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-5414.614.60.0013.017.2-4.18
Calbert Cheaney2424-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.10-71-816.613.92.7018.416.41.99
Troy Murphy8083-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.18-82-1014.016.7-2.7216.917.0-0.13
Jason Richardson8486-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.33-5-1-414.117.1-3.0416.717.9-1.17
Derek Fisher6465-0.550.05-0.60-0.37-60-616.012.13.9316.717.3-0.59
Baron Davis8688-0.700.20-0.90-0.49-71-814.415.4-0.9216.519.4-2.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 117, SAC 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.36,0.5,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.82,0.94,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.32,0.05,089.3%
DEN 97, MEM 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.22,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.72,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.27,088.4%
IND 105, ATL 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.58,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.46,0.26,0.37,0.57,0.26,088.2%