inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 97 Excitement10.7 [45] MVPBrian Cardinal (MEM): +18.6%
Memphis Grizzlies 94 Comeback55.8 [14] LVPLorenzen Wright (MEM): -42.1%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DerMarr Johnson0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.050.07-0.02941%0.061-0.034100%0.02
Earl Boykins0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03-0.030.060.00665%0.133-0.101493%0.16
Eduardo Najera0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Buckner0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.00175%-0.0100.00667%-0.03
Marcus Camby-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.05-0.001549%0.073-0.085100%0.08
Andre Miller-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0.02,0.13,0.05,0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.04-0.011248%0.033-0.13786%0.08
Bryon Russell-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18-0.05-0.130.00744%-0.112-0.072100%0.01
Kenyon Martin-0.220,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.09-0.14-0.011050%0.004-0.22450%-0.02
Carmelo Anthony-0.280,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.20-0.080.001335%-0.155-0.13875%0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brian Cardinal0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.190.190.080.10-0.002064%0.263-0.07475%0.02
Antonio Burks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Ryan Humphrey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00564%0.051-0.041100%0.00
Jake Tsakalidis00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.00860%0.052-0.074100%0.03
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.01636%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.080.011159%-0.062-0.04771%-0.03
Jason Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.040.001346%0.043-0.1520%-0.06
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.16-0.070.00410%-0.114-0.12250%-0.01
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.42-0.42-0.18-0.27-0.031225%-0.333-0.09475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game28.62.536.516.524.42.340.31.620.4173.1
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM -23.5%
DEN +96.8%
DEN +14.3%
MEM -13.5%
MEM -24.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMEMNBADENMEMNBA
this game14.517.115.597.093.1104.0
season14.816.4103.8103.7
opponent15.515.6101.9102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN13.814.417.411.518.714.5
MEM16.217.613.919.321.117.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryon Russell65630.93-0.431.360.5214-112514.414.7-0.2716.917.4-0.45
DerMarr Johnson65640.66-0.160.810.486-3914.115.3-1.1915.919.1-3.19
Andre Miller75760.59-0.090.680.474-1514.215.6-1.4716.817.8-1.00
Marcus Camby73740.55-0.050.590.4630314.714.00.7417.914.93.00
Kenyon Martin89900.450.050.390.51-25-714.415.8-1.4416.323.6-7.35
Earl Boykins57600.300.200.100.184-1514.215.0-0.7318.614.93.64
Eduardo Najera330.040.46-0.420.0403-318.714.44.2511.717.3-5.59
Greg Buckner120.030.47-0.440.0303-315.014.50.4611.517.2-5.70
Francisco Elson2423-0.100.60-0.71-0.1003-315.014.40.5520.316.14.22
Carmelo Anthony5357-0.380.88-1.26-0.15-811-1914.614.40.1817.117.1-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Miller70730.40-0.901.30-0.1619-224116.219.0-2.8015.013.41.55
Brian Cardinal84830.16-0.660.83-0.1912-152716.719.0-2.3014.912.92.00
Shane Battier63660.07-0.570.64-0.178-111915.719.5-3.8214.714.30.33
Bonzi Wells54-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-1-117.217.10.1214.514.5-0.04
Jason Williams7878-0.14-0.360.22-0.4611-142516.020.8-4.8415.112.62.44
Jake Tsakalidis87-0.15-0.350.200.06-74-1124.116.57.6413.614.6-1.04
Lorenzen Wright8082-0.20-0.300.11-0.407-101716.419.9-3.4914.813.21.61
Ryan Humphrey2525-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.10-96-1518.716.62.1713.115.0-1.89
Antonio Burks1715-0.39-0.11-0.290.08-1613-2921.416.25.2012.514.9-2.44
Earl Watson3330-0.860.36-1.23-0.28-2017-3718.816.22.5713.215.1-1.96
James Posey4237-0.980.48-1.45-0.45-1815-3319.515.44.0514.114.8-0.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.22,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.72,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 111, GSW 1050.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.08,088.4%
UTA 93, SEA 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.64,0.41,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.68,0.85,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.16,088.1%
CHA 108, MIN 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.22,0.33,0.04,087.5%