NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	108		Excitement	10.4 [46]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +23.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	50.8 [23]		LVP	Wesley Johnson (MIN): -30.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.12	0.01	18	57%	0.22	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,0.01,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12	-0.06	0.16	-0.02	17	39%	0.25	2	-0.13	7	86%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	9	55%	0.14	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Dominic McGuire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	100%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.06	0.00	7	44%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	36%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.06	7	29%	-0.10
Boris Diaw	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	20	40%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.03	-0.15	0.00	8	50%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.24	0.00	0.01	16	81%	0.32	2	-0.09	11	91%	0.07
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	3	100%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	2	43%	0.00	5	-0.16	3	33%	-0.02
Michael Beasley	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.04,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.07,-0.06,-0.17	-0.17	0.03	-0.20	-0.01	25	48%	-0.17	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.07
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.09	-0.22	-0.01	14	36%	-0.13	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	32.0	14.8	24.0	2.7	40.2	2.5	17.1	160.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +40.0%

CHA +14.4%

MIN -14.5%

CHA +15.3%

MIN -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIN	NBA	CHA	MIN	NBA
this game	16.3	14.6	15.5	104.9	101.9	105.7
season	16.2	14.3		102.3	102.7
opponent	15.1	15.5		109.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	16.8	16.3	17.5	15.0	15.0	16.3
MIN	12.6	13.7	15.9	16.3	15.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	62	63	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.60	0	3	-3	16.7	15.7	0.98	15.1	13.8	1.35
D.J. Augustin	79	79	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.52	-1	4	-5	16.8	14.6	2.15	14.6	14.5	0.19
Matt Carroll	42	40	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-10	23	13.8	18.0	-4.20	14.6	14.6	-0.04
Tyrus Thomas	70	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.30	5	-2	7	15.6	17.6	-2.01	15.2	13.4	1.82
Kwame Brown	69	70	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.34	-1	4	-5	17.2	14.4	2.82	14.0	15.9	-1.97
Boris Diaw	77	77	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.35	-6	9	-15	16.2	16.5	-0.36	14.5	15.0	-0.48
Eduardo Najera	25	25	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.11	1	2	-1	16.1	16.3	-0.20	15.2	14.4	0.84
Derrick Brown	26	26	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	3	-3	18.8	15.4	3.34	13.5	15.0	-1.47
Shaun Livingston	33	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.11	2	1	1	15.9	16.4	-0.53	13.7	15.0	-1.37
Dominic McGuire	32	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.17	2	1	1	15.6	16.6	-0.94	15.2	14.3	0.86

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	27	25	0.45	-0.95	1.40	0.07	13	-16	29	16.1	14.1	2.00	15.8	16.4	-0.68
Martell Webster	35	36	0.39	-0.89	1.28	0.30	3	-6	9	15.6	14.1	1.47	15.8	16.5	-0.67
Luke Ridnour	49	48	0.29	-0.79	1.09	-0.12	14	-17	31	13.8	15.4	-1.62	18.5	14.3	4.17
Corey Brewer	46	47	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	0	-3	15.4	14.0	1.39	15.0	17.3	-2.34
Nikola Pekovic	9	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	3	-9	13.7	14.7	-1.02	13.7	16.5	-2.85
Jonny Flynn	44	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	11	-25	15.5	14.0	1.49	14.2	17.9	-3.72
Kevin Love	86	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.55	4	-7	11	14.6	14.8	-0.27	16.5	15.0	1.52
Darko Milicic	50	51	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.48	-5	2	-7	13.3	15.8	-2.53	17.6	15.0	2.65
Michael Beasley	95	94	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.40	-12	9	-21	14.6	14.9	-0.30	16.3	16.3	-0.07
Wesley Johnson	64	64	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.73	-6	3	-9	14.1	15.4	-1.22	16.6	15.7	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.22,0.33,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 113, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.57,0.63,0.87,0.7,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.5,0.38,0.29,0.22,0,0	89.4%
POR 115, OKC 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.26,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.46,0.47,0.22,0.1,0.02,0	87.6%
DEN 97, MEM 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.22,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.72,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.27,0	87.5%