NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	128		Excitement	9.1 [119]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +125.0%
San Antonio Spurs	125		Comeback	242.9 [6]		LVP	Iman Shumpert (CLE): -19.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	1.25	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.78,0.72,0.87,1.05,1.25,1.25	0.45	0.81	0.01	32	77%	1.32	2	-0.07	10	100%	0.07
LeBron James	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.23,0.34	0.12	0.22	0.01	20	62%	0.46	3	-0.12	10	80%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	9	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
J.R. Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	10	36%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	6	17%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.3,0.3,0.29	0.29	0.18	0.18	0.07	13	77%	0.31	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.13	-0.01	23	63%	0.34	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.09
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	14	67%	0.21	3	-0.09	8	62%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	6	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.09	0.01	11	67%	0.06	3	-0.12	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.1	3.5	33.4	17.7	30.3	2.7	42.3	2.0	21.2	178.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +30.4%

CLE +26.5%

CLE +3.3%

SAS -1.1%

SAS -9.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAS	NBA	CLE	SAS	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.1	124.3	119.0	104.2
season	15.9	15.4		108.7	106.9
opponent	14.9	14.9		101.1	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	15.0	13.2	19.4	14.6	16.8	15.6
SAS	15.0	15.0	12.2	17.4	16.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	53	56	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.42	11	-8	19	14.6	16.6	-2.00	15.8	14.1	1.66
Kyrie Irving	90	93	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-2	7	15.6	14.9	0.72	14.6	18.3	-3.73
LeBron James	85	86	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.44	4	-1	5	16.0	13.4	2.56	15.3	13.8	1.51
Tristan Thompson	56	58	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	1	1	15.5	15.6	-0.16	15.6	14.3	1.32
Kevin Love	63	63	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.40	1	2	-1	16.8	13.6	3.15	14.7	15.6	-0.90
James Jones	37	40	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.12	6	-3	9	14.5	16.1	-1.62	16.0	14.4	1.57
Timofey Mozgov	48	47	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	3	-3	15.4	15.7	-0.33	14.3	15.6	-1.32
J.R. Smith	60	60	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	10	-17	15.3	15.9	-0.53	13.7	16.8	-3.18
Matthew Dellavedova	23	22	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	10	-17	15.2	15.6	-0.43	16.8	14.6	2.21

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	47	47	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.22	1	-4	5	14.8	15.2	-0.44	13.2	17.5	-4.27
Tiago Splitter	46	45	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.08	5	-8	13	15.5	14.7	0.76	15.5	15.6	-0.11
Patty Mills	27	26	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.01	6	-9	15	16.9	14.4	2.50	14.8	15.8	-0.95
Matt Bonner	17	16	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-8	13	16.0	14.8	1.16	12.7	16.1	-3.32
Tim Duncan	82	81	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-2	1	14.7	16.2	-1.47	16.2	13.3	2.84
Cory Joseph	1	0	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	0	-3	2.0	15.2	-13.15	0.0	15.6	-15.55
Danny Green	72	68	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	15.2	14.7	0.53	16.1	14.4	1.70
Boris Diaw	44	45	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	2	-7	14.6	15.3	-0.68	15.8	15.3	0.48
Kawhi Leonard	85	85	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	2	-7	15.5	13.1	2.38	16.2	12.6	3.57
Manu Ginobili	20	19	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.34	-8	5	-13	13.1	15.5	-2.38	15.5	15.6	-0.10
Tony Parker	84	83	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.42	-7	4	-11	14.7	16.5	-1.81	15.8	14.4	1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.5,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 98, LAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.54,0.61,0.37,0.15,0.42,0	90.1%
PHX 107, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.96,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.09,0.01,0	89.9%
ORL 85, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.54,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.04,0	89.8%