NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	98		Excitement	9.0 [136]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +39.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	255.4 [5]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -27.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.40	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.4	0.14	0.30	0.04	11	77%	0.43	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Robin Lopez	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	69%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Steve Blake	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.11,-0.17,-0.01	-0.04	0.04	0.01	30	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Arron Afflalo	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.36,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.25	-0.04	-0.02	13	17%	-0.14	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.12,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.02	-0.03	29	56%	0.17	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	5	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	10	20%	-0.09
JJ Redick	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.20	-0.04	27	48%	-0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.9	3.4	27.2	16.7	34.3	3.5	42.8	2.7	12.3	168.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.1%

POR +26.3%

POR +7.8%

LAC -22.6%

POR +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	14.6	15.3	15.1	92.5	86.9	104.2
season	15.3	14.6		106.5	110.5
opponent	15.3	15.0		104.6	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	16.8	13.7	14.4	14.5	12.2	14.6
LAC	13.2	16.3	15.6	15.5	16.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	80	79	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.55	8	-3	11	14.0	16.3	-2.23	15.1	15.7	-0.60
Damian Lillard	87	89	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.39	13	-8	21	14.5	15.0	-0.51	15.0	16.5	-1.48
Arron Afflalo	63	66	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.38	13	-8	21	13.9	15.6	-1.72	16.7	12.9	3.80
LaMarcus Aldridge	89	89	0.58	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-4	13	14.8	13.6	1.19	14.9	16.9	-1.95
Nicolas Batum	80	82	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	6	-7	15.3	12.4	2.86	14.5	17.7	-3.14
Meyers Leonard	4	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	5	-5	11.0	14.7	-3.73	15.6	15.3	0.35
Dorell Wright	13	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	9	-13	14.4	14.6	-0.23	18.8	14.8	4.01
Chris Kaman	32	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.09	-1	6	-7	13.9	14.9	-0.97	16.7	14.6	2.06
Steve Blake	19	19	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.04	-7	12	-19	15.0	14.5	0.51	15.6	15.2	0.44
Robin Lopez	63	61	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.11	-5	10	-15	15.4	13.3	2.08	14.1	16.8	-2.69

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	44	45	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.25	0	-5	5	16.5	14.4	2.01	13.6	15.3	-1.75
Jordan Hamilton	36	35	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.13	4	-9	13	14.6	15.6	-1.04	16.3	13.7	2.58
Spencer Hawes	53	51	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.17	-1	-4	3	14.5	16.0	-1.51	15.5	13.7	1.82
Chris Paul	83	84	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.37	6	-11	17	14.5	17.8	-3.30	15.4	11.5	3.89
Dahntay Jones	3	2	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-1	-3	15.0	15.3	-0.28	14.5	14.6	-0.09
Hedo Turkoglu	74	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-1	-3	15.9	13.9	2.01	13.8	16.5	-2.78
DeAndre Jordan	90	91	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.41	-2	-3	1	14.6	18.8	-4.15	15.0	11.9	3.09
JJ Redick	99	96	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.41	-10	5	-15	15.2	16.4	-1.19	14.3	17.6	-3.33
Austin Rivers	53	51	-1.02	0.52	-1.53	-0.60	-14	9	-23	17.1	13.5	3.65	13.0	16.0	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.54,0.61,0.37,0.15,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 128, SAS 125	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.5,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.15,0	90.1%
SAS 105, ORL 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.5,0.55,0.37,0.05,0.02,0	89.5%
LAL 112, SAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.88,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.33,0.59,0	89.4%