NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	127		Excitement	12.4 [17]		MVP	Landry Shamet (PHX): +52.4%
Sacramento Kings	124		Comeback	7.5 [361]		LVP	Aaron Holiday (PHX): -13.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Shamet	0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.52	0.18	0.34	-0.00	11	84%	0.61	1	-0.08	3	67%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.07	0.27	-0.00	8	67%	0.37	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.05
Devin Booker	0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.11,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.31,0.31	0.12	0.18	-0.01	21	63%	0.39	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.09
Mikal Bridges	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.06	0.00	18	61%	0.20	0	0.00	8	87%	0.00
Ish Wainright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.06	-0.10	0.03	6	86%	0.11	2	-0.18	2	100%	0.03
Bismack Biyombo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	3	12%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Holiday	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	10	45%	-0.01	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.19	0.01	8	58%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.05
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.01	8	65%	0.29	1	-0.13	4	50%	-0.10
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	8	72%	0.20	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.25,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.15	0.02	22	56%	0.29	5	-0.14	6	100%	0.05
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.00	16	52%	0.01	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	11	54%	0.09	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	26.6	14.8	29.4	2.8	32.1	2.5	22.9	156.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +50.4%

SAC -8.5%

PHX +20.6%

SAC -15.3%

PHX +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	13.9	14.4	14.5	112.4	110.7	110.8
season	14.2	14.0		114.0	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.7		114.4	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	15.0	13.9	12.1	14.9	13.5	13.9
SAC	15.7	12.3	14.6	15.7	13.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Torrey Craig	65	63	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.40	12	-9	21	13.8	13.9	-0.11	15.2	13.4	1.79
JaVale McGee	35	35	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.37	10	-7	17	14.8	13.4	1.38	14.6	14.3	0.26
Aaron Holiday	50	49	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	-10	23	13.5	14.2	-0.71	14.3	14.4	-0.12
Landry Shamet	63	62	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	0	3	14.0	13.7	0.32	14.7	14.0	0.64
Bismack Biyombo	19	19	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	-1	5	12.8	14.1	-1.31	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Mikal Bridges	108	107	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.47	0	3	-3	13.9	13.4	0.50	14.3	16.2	-1.89
Ish Wainright	1	1	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.12	0	3	-3	5.0	14.0	-8.96	5.0	14.5	-9.48
Devin Booker	77	77	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	0	3	14.5	12.6	1.86	15.0	13.1	1.82
Jae Crowder	49	49	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.02	-11	14	-25	13.7	14.0	-0.32	13.4	15.2	-1.79
Deandre Ayton	57	58	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.14	-6	9	-15	14.1	13.7	0.39	14.5	14.2	0.29
Elfrid Payton	41	40	-0.56	1.06	-1.62	-0.18	-13	16	-29	12.9	14.4	-1.53	13.4	14.9	-1.54

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	64	64	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.12	5	-8	13	14.5	14.2	0.25	14.4	13.2	1.11
Donte DiVincenzo	63	63	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-5	7	13.4	15.6	-2.17	14.0	13.7	0.24
Jeremy Lamb	32	34	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-2	1	13.8	14.6	-0.86	13.9	13.9	0.01
Chimezie Metu	45	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	5	-13	12.9	15.4	-2.55	13.6	14.0	-0.42
Trey Lyles	67	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.47	5	-8	13	15.4	12.9	2.55	14.0	13.6	0.42
Davion Mitchell	99	100	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.53	6	-9	15	14.4	14.7	-0.34	13.8	14.7	-0.92
Harrison Barnes	87	86	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.37	-6	3	-9	14.6	13.8	0.71	13.9	13.7	0.23
Justin Holiday	55	56	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	7	-17	15.7	13.2	2.48	13.9	13.9	-0.04
Damian Jones	48	49	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.54	-8	5	-13	14.2	14.5	-0.25	13.2	14.4	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.88,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.45,0.41,0.53,0.71,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.38,0.36,0.45,0.16,0	89.9%
DEN 130, PHX 126	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.76,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.86,0.58,0.46,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.27,0	89.9%
DET 93, PHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.58,0.54,0.32,0.21,0.1,0.42,0	89.1%