NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	93		Excitement	10.4 [50]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +29.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	5.7 [98]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (DET): -47.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.06,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.3	0.02	0.27	-0.01	18	60%	0.45	3	-0.15	11	100%	0.19
Tayshaun Prince	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	11	64%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.07	0.00	8	63%	0.12	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.05
Ben Wallace	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	8	48%	0.02	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Michael Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	4	18%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	19	41%	-0.10	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Mehmet Okur	-0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.47	-0.12	-0.35	-0.00	5	0%	-0.26	2	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.08	0.15	-0.01	7	47%	0.17	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.03
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	36%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	11	55%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.01	11	56%	0.11	2	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.07,-0.19,-0.25,-0.31,-0.33,-0.14,-0.33	-0.33	-0.08	-0.26	-0.01	33	50%	-0.15	5	-0.18	10	90%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.0	3.4	34.2	17.6	38.5	3.4	39.2	2.8	22.5	185.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -19.0%

DET +31.4%

DET +10.3%

DET +12.0%

DET +15.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	17.4	15.4	15.5	97.9	89.9	101.6
season	16.8	15.3		101.7	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.6		99.9	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	18.6	17.1	15.6	17.4	20.6	17.4
PHI	14.8	13.8	15.1	18.6	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	44	47	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.22	25	-21	46	17.0	17.8	-0.82	17.0	13.9	3.04
Chauncey Billups	72	74	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.65	2	2	0	17.4	17.7	-0.33	15.5	14.9	0.62
Ben Wallace	95	98	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.41	4	0	4	17.4	0.0	17.44	15.4	12.0	3.42
Tayshaun Prince	48	52	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	-2	8	17.2	17.7	-0.51	15.5	15.3	0.20
Mehmet Okur	41	45	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	1	2	17.1	17.7	-0.52	15.5	15.3	0.15
Richard Hamilton	75	75	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.29	-6	10	-16	17.8	15.9	1.89	15.3	15.6	-0.26
Michael Curry	31	32	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.27	-6	10	-16	17.6	17.3	0.30	15.1	15.5	-0.47
Chucky Atkins	23	26	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.29	3	1	2	17.7	17.4	0.33	14.5	15.7	-1.15
Clifford Robinson	46	46	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.02	-11	15	-26	17.6	17.3	0.32	14.0	16.5	-2.50

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	45	44	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-5	6	16.9	14.1	2.76	18.0	16.9	1.12
Derrick Coleman	79	76	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.06	2	-6	8	15.3	15.9	-0.65	17.4	17.4	0.03
Greg Buckner	22	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-3	2	14.0	15.8	-1.84	14.2	18.2	-4.04
Keith Van Horn	83	79	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.39	10	-14	24	15.2	16.3	-1.11	18.5	12.2	6.24
Brian Skinner	16	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	0	-4	14.9	15.5	-0.53	12.1	18.4	-6.30
Monty Williams	19	18	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	13	-30	15.5	15.3	0.18	16.8	17.6	-0.75
Kenny Thomas	67	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-5	6	16.0	14.1	1.91	18.2	15.5	2.69
Allen Iverson	99	95	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	15.4	0.0	15.38	17.4	0.0	17.44
Aaron McKie	56	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	0	-4	14.6	16.4	-1.83	16.8	18.3	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.58,0.54,0.32,0.21,0.1,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 102, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.4,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.55,0.72,0.78,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.15,0.23,0.05,0	88.7%
MIN 106, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.31,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.96,0.5,0.47,0.37,0.09,0.15,0	88.6%
DAL 94, MEM 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.16,0.07,0.02,0	88.6%