NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	113		Excitement	8.3 [240]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +31.0%
Atlanta Hawks	122		Comeback	9.0 [563]		LVP	Kris Dunn (POR): -20.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Hart	0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.02	-0.00	21	63%	0.22	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Trendon Watford	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.01	-0.05	19	55%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Drew Eubanks	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	10	73%	0.19	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Elijah Hughes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.00	8	35%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.06
CJ Elleby	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Brandon Williams	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.17,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	0.00	17	51%	0.16	5	-0.20	5	40%	-0.04
Greg Brown III	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.07	-0.00	6	17%	-0.11	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.14,0.2,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.21	0.10	-0.00	31	63%	0.39	3	-0.08	11	100%	0.05
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	5	71%	0.15	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.10	0.04	17	50%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Kevin Huerter	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.07	0.01	15	47%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	6	33%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	12	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kevin Knox II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	13	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.3	30.5	14.8	30.1	1.7	42.0	144.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -31.0%

ATL +14.6%

ATL +12.9%

ATL +56.1%

POR -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ATL	NBA	POR	ATL	NBA
this game	13.2	13.9	14.5	106.6	114.0	110.8
season	14.6	14.6		106.9	114.3
opponent	14.5	14.5		113.2	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	12.3	12.9	13.2	14.2	13.2
ATL	14.9	13.2	12.0	15.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Dunn	42	41	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-12	15	13.1	13.2	-0.15	14.2	13.7	0.59
Drew Eubanks	65	67	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.24	10	-19	29	12.7	13.9	-1.21	14.4	12.9	1.48
CJ Elleby	67	68	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-9	9	12.7	14.0	-1.37	13.9	13.9	0.01
Elijah Hughes	28	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-9	9	13.6	13.0	0.56	15.1	13.4	1.66
Josh Hart	85	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	1	-11	13.1	13.3	-0.16	13.3	16.2	-2.88
Brandon Williams	79	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	0	-9	13.4	12.6	0.76	13.9	13.7	0.23
Greg Brown III	29	29	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.00	-16	7	-23	13.6	13.0	0.59	12.5	14.4	-1.87
Keon Johnson	50	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.24	-9	0	-9	13.4	12.9	0.45	13.9	13.9	-0.03
Trendon Watford	85	86	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	5	-19	13.4	12.2	1.15	13.8	14.0	-0.15

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delon Wright	69	67	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.17	17	-8	25	13.5	14.6	-1.17	13.1	13.3	-0.23
Kevin Huerter	78	79	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.22	10	-1	11	14.5	12.3	2.20	13.3	12.7	0.56
Clint Capela	61	60	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.08	13	-4	17	14.3	13.4	0.89	13.7	12.5	1.21
De'Andre Hunter	74	74	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.07	12	-3	15	13.8	14.0	-0.22	13.4	12.6	0.81
Trae Young	87	85	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	-1	11	13.6	15.3	-1.75	13.2	13.0	0.14
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	18	18	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	9	-9	13.9	13.9	0.01	12.3	13.3	-1.00
Lou Williams	35	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	12	-15	14.2	13.7	0.48	13.0	13.2	-0.24
Onyeka Okongwu	46	45	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.21	-6	15	-21	13.4	14.3	-0.89	12.6	13.6	-0.94
Kevin Knox II	15	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	12	-15	14.2	13.8	0.37	12.9	13.2	-0.27
Bogdan Bogdanovic	52	52	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	14	-19	13.9	13.9	-0.03	13.0	13.3	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.29,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.88,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.61,0.69,0.63,0.86,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 104, CHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.9,0.79,0.91,0.96,1	91.3%
CHA 87, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.91,1,1	90.4%
ORL 104, DEN 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.26,0.41,0.59,0.59,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.67,0.93,0.98,1,1	90.3%