NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	104		Excitement	7.1 [395]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +48.3%
Chicago Bulls	109		Comeback	2.7 [533]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -21.5%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.10	0.07	0.01	18	62%	0.16	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Lorenzo Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Legler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	14	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Chris Whitney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.06	0.02	14	56%	-0.05	0	0.00	11	91%	0.04
Jaren Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	0.00	0.07	0	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	2	17%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Webber	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14	-0.00	-0.06	0.07	13	66%	0.09	6	-0.23	6	33%	-0.08
Rod Strickland	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22	-0.12	-0.06	0.03	18	38%	-0.10	3	-0.12	6	100%	0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.48	0.48	0.26	0.23	0.00	35	69%	0.55	2	-0.07	10	100%	0.06
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	10	54%	0.05	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	3	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Bison Dele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	528.6	2.5	37.2	18.0	29.0	2.8	35.2	653.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +61.3%

WAS -14.6%

WAS -11.7%

CHI +19.4%

WAS -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.9	15.2	15.6	113.0	117.2	104.4
season	14.8	15.5		104.3	110.5
opponent	16.1	15.8		99.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.8	16.0	17.6	14.2	15.9
CHI	13.0	14.6	15.1	18.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	16	15	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.06	9	-14	23	14.7	16.2	-1.43	11.7	15.9	-4.22
Tim Legler	11	12	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.09	8	-13	21	16.9	15.8	1.11	13.2	15.5	-2.34
Lorenzo Williams	3	3	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-8	11	15.0	16.0	-0.97	14.0	15.2	-1.24
Jaren Jackson	5	5	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-3	1	15.0	16.0	-0.99	19.8	14.9	4.86
Gheorghe Muresan	23	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-4	3	17.8	15.3	2.52	15.9	15.0	0.92
Harvey Grant	22	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	1	-7	15.4	16.1	-0.75	12.3	16.2	-3.93
Chris Webber	75	73	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.16	-3	-2	-1	16.2	14.6	1.65	16.1	11.8	4.34
Calbert Cheaney	81	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.29	-7	2	-9	16.0	15.1	0.96	14.8	17.9	-3.11
Tracy Murray	62	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	0	-5	15.1	17.7	-2.57	15.4	14.8	0.60
Juwan Howard	85	86	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.35	-9	4	-13	15.7	19.1	-3.47	15.5	11.7	3.77
Rod Strickland	77	79	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.30	-12	7	-19	16.3	14.1	2.15	15.7	12.4	3.27

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	64	65	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-7	19	15.1	15.4	-0.35	15.3	17.5	-2.19
Michael Jordan	84	83	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.33	10	-5	15	15.5	12.4	3.06	16.3	12.1	4.24
Luc Longley	51	51	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	-3	11	15.9	14.4	1.54	16.1	15.7	0.45
Scottie Pippen	81	78	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	-2	9	15.4	14.0	1.38	15.8	16.6	-0.75
Ron Harper	57	55	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	-1	7	14.9	15.7	-0.75	16.1	15.6	0.48
Jason Caffey	31	30	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	4	-3	15.2	15.2	-0.06	17.5	15.2	2.37
Steve Kerr	42	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.20	-7	12	-19	15.5	14.9	0.63	15.5	16.3	-0.89
Jud Buechler	3	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	7	-9	17.0	15.1	1.86	13.5	16.0	-2.55
Bison Dele	11	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.04	-1	6	-7	14.0	15.4	-1.37	15.0	16.1	-1.09
Randy Brown	4	5	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	8	-11	6.0	15.6	-9.62	12.6	16.1	-3.53
Toni Kukoc	37	34	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	11	-17	14.7	15.6	-0.88	16.1	15.8	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.9,0.79,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 87, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.91,1,1	92.2%
CLE 92, PHX 103	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.0%
BOS 111, ORL 119	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.98,1	91.9%