NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	87		Excitement	7.5 [362]		MVP	Jason Kapono (CHA): +14.4%
Golden State Warriors	99		Comeback	3.9 [674]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -29.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kapono	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.07	0.00	12	71%	0.19	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	19	51%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Kareem Rush	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Hart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	7	43%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	7	56%	-0.02	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.02
Brevin Knight	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	7	33%	-0.10	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.17	-0.13	-0.01	8	39%	-0.08	5	-0.21	7	43%	-0.05

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	-0.01	0.03	13	78%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	16	52%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	19	60%	0.13	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.05	-0.02	13	47%	0.04	2	-0.06	12	67%	-0.03
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	10	33%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	29.3	15.5	25.3	2.5	29.6	128.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +22.6%

GSW +0.9%

CHA -15.5%

GSW +39.6%

GSW +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	GSW	NBA	CHA	GSW	NBA
this game	14.3	14.9	15.5	87.9	101.0	104.0
season	15.5	15.0		99.0	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.1		104.7	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.9	11.0	17.0	15.2	14.3
GSW	15.7	15.5	13.0	15.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	42	43	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-13	14	14.0	14.6	-0.54	15.9	14.2	1.70
Gerald Wallace	60	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-8	4	14.7	13.8	0.85	14.8	15.1	-0.32
Jason Hart	40	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-10	8	14.4	14.3	0.07	14.8	14.9	-0.10
Melvin Ely	41	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-11	10	14.1	14.5	-0.36	15.2	14.7	0.45
Primoz Brezec	57	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-7	2	15.0	13.5	1.49	15.0	14.8	0.21
Keith Bogans	51	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-2	-8	13.9	14.7	-0.81	14.0	15.8	-1.78
Kareem Rush	49	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-6	0	14.2	14.4	-0.22	14.7	15.1	-0.47
Brevin Knight	69	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.03	-16	4	-20	14.6	13.8	0.77	15.0	14.7	0.27
Emeka Okafor	86	85	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.10	-17	5	-22	14.0	16.4	-2.36	14.9	14.7	0.25

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	85	88	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.10	15	-3	18	14.8	15.6	-0.82	14.6	12.2	2.42
Clifford Robinson	61	64	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-1	14	15.2	14.4	0.85	14.4	14.1	0.29
Jason Richardson	76	76	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.12	13	-1	14	15.2	13.7	1.52	14.4	14.2	0.21
Troy Murphy	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.10	13	-1	14	14.6	16.0	-1.45	14.5	13.8	0.66
Mike Dunleavy	76	78	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	3	6	15.5	13.0	2.52	14.0	15.7	-1.69
Mickael Pietrus	49	49	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	8	-4	13.9	15.9	-2.02	14.2	14.5	-0.30
Eduardo Najera	30	28	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.10	1	11	-10	15.1	14.8	0.32	14.3	14.4	-0.07
Calbert Cheaney	11	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	15	-18	14.5	15.0	-0.41	14.7	14.3	0.41
Adonal Foyle	28	28	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.00	-5	17	-22	14.7	15.0	-0.32	13.9	14.5	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 102, WAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.56,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	92.3%
WAS 104, CHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.9,0.79,0.91,0.96,1	92.2%
PHI 95, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.75,0.88,0.79,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.97,1	92.1%