NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	102		Excitement	9.0 [144]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +45.1%
Washington Wizards	103		Comeback	2.5 [728]		LVP	Tony Allen (BOS): -17.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.3	0.15	0.17	0.01	9	94%	0.33	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15	0.04	0.11	0.00	1	150%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.07	0.03	12	61%	0.20	2	-0.08	14	79%	0.02
Orien Greene	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.05	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Mark Blount	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	14	50%	0.02	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,-0.15	0.08	-0.22	0.01	16	63%	-0.07	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Tony Allen	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	6	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.45	0.45	0.03	0.43	0.01	18	57%	0.61	6	-0.16	18	94%	0.23
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.10	0.02	22	52%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Awvee Storey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.08	-0.00	17	48%	-0.04	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.17
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	25.6	15.5	30.4	2.5	42.0	144.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -6.4%

WAS +30.3%

BOS -15.8%

WAS +34.6%

WAS +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	14.9	15.6	104.1	106.2	104.4
season	14.8	15.1		103.3	107.4
opponent	15.6	15.8		105.5	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.3	13.6	16.5	13.5	14.7
WAS	15.3	14.7	13.5	16.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	1	2	0.63	-1.13	1.75	0.48	5	-6	11	10.0	14.7	-4.72	4.0	15.1	-11.09
Mark Blount	47	49	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	1	-3	16.0	13.5	2.55	15.2	14.5	0.77
Ricky Davis	89	88	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.45	11	-12	23	14.7	14.1	0.62	15.3	10.8	4.51
Al Jefferson	25	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	4	-9	19.2	13.1	6.08	15.5	14.6	0.92
Marcus Banks	16	15	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	6	-13	15.7	14.5	1.21	15.4	14.8	0.63
Delonte West	50	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-5	9	15.1	14.2	0.95	15.2	14.5	0.69
Kendrick Perkins	64	65	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-1	1	13.7	16.4	-2.71	15.1	14.4	0.64
Orien Greene	46	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-2	3	13.5	15.7	-2.29	13.6	15.9	-2.33
Paul Pierce	77	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	0	-1	14.3	16.0	-1.63	14.4	16.4	-1.94
Raef LaFrentz	46	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	2	-5	15.0	14.4	0.66	15.3	14.5	0.79
Tony Allen	29	27	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.71	-8	7	-15	11.6	16.0	-4.34	14.1	15.1	-0.99

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	80	81	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.45	8	-7	15	14.1	18.5	-4.37	14.6	14.9	-0.25
Caron Butler	76	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	-1	3	15.3	13.1	2.20	15.0	13.3	1.73
Gilbert Arenas	92	93	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.49	1	0	1	14.8	16.0	-1.20	14.8	13.2	1.55
Antawn Jamison	76	78	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.34	4	-3	7	13.9	18.4	-4.55	14.5	15.5	-1.04
Etan Thomas	38	37	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	-3	7	16.2	14.0	2.12	14.4	14.9	-0.47
Brendan Haywood	55	56	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	1	-1	14.9	14.8	0.10	15.8	13.2	2.60
Michael Ruffin	14	14	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	2	-3	18.6	14.2	4.33	16.9	14.3	2.55
Awvee Storey	16	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	3	-5	15.7	14.7	1.06	12.1	15.1	-3.08
Chucky Atkins	38	38	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.08	-11	12	-23	14.6	15.1	-0.52	13.2	15.6	-2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.56,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 101, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.39,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.92,1	93.0%
IND 98, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.98,1	92.9%
WAS 78, NJN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,1	92.6%