NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	78		Excitement	5.4 [713]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (NJN): +6.5%
New Jersey Nets	86		Comeback	3.1 [665]		LVP	Michael Jordan (WAS): -23.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Etan Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	7	44%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.02	6	56%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Larry Hughes	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.04	0.03	9	55%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Christian Laettner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	5	64%	-0.00	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	20	59%	0.09	6	-0.14	6	83%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23	-0.17	-0.07	-0.01	16	25%	-0.15	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	13	71%	0.12	5	-0.17	8	75%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	18	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	10	19%	-0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	16	43%	-0.11	1	-0.03	12	58%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.8	24.4	14.7	24.2	2.3	34.7	123.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +27.3%

WAS -1.3%

NJN +13.2%

NJN +7.2%

NJN +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NJN	NBA	WAS	NJN	NBA
this game	16.3	15.5	15.5	86.7	94.5	101.6
season	16.5	15.0		100.9	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.5		96.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.7	16.9	16.7	14.2	16.3
NJN	16.6	15.1	16.0	14.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Etan Thomas	19	20	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-11	14	17.1	16.1	0.95	15.0	15.7	-0.68
Christian Laettner	56	57	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-12	16	15.5	17.6	-2.16	16.0	14.8	1.17
Larry Hughes	60	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-8	8	15.6	17.7	-2.15	15.8	14.9	0.89
Tyronn Lue	37	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.11	-5	-3	-2	16.9	15.9	1.01	14.7	16.1	-1.40
Michael Jordan	71	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-1	-6	16.3	16.3	-0.02	15.3	16.4	-1.13
Bryon Russell	38	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-2	-4	16.8	15.9	0.89	14.8	16.0	-1.19
Jerry Stackhouse	72	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-3	-2	16.0	17.5	-1.50	16.1	13.1	3.01
Brendan Haywood	52	51	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	6	-20	17.3	14.9	2.43	15.8	15.2	0.63
Kwame Brown	45	44	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.24	-10	2	-12	16.3	16.3	0.07	15.2	15.9	-0.67

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	80	79	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.20	17	-9	26	15.5	15.9	-0.43	16.4	15.9	0.45
Lucious Harris	69	68	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.19	13	-5	18	15.9	14.3	1.65	16.5	15.7	0.76
Richard Jefferson	82	82	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-3	14	15.4	16.7	-1.26	16.3	16.5	-0.22
Jason Collins	53	53	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-8	24	15.2	16.1	-0.90	16.6	15.9	0.65
Anthony Johnson	48	48	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.37	2	6	-4	15.7	15.4	0.29	16.1	16.5	-0.37
Chris Childs	16	16	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	6	-4	13.2	16.0	-2.84	13.7	16.9	-3.18
Aaron Williams	38	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.22	-8	16	-24	16.1	15.2	0.90	15.9	16.6	-0.65
Jason Kidd	49	48	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	9	-10	15.6	15.5	0.14	17.1	15.4	1.68
Brian Scalabrine	20	19	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.10	-12	20	-32	16.2	15.3	0.93	16.2	16.3	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.58,0.74,0.88,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%
ORL 122, OKC 132	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.35,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.92,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.93,1,1,1	93.4%
MIA 95, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.6,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.2%