NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	6.6 [452]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +8.6%
Phoenix Suns	103		Comeback	3.6 [663]		LVP	Larry Hughes (CLE): -17.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.08	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	20	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.02	26	50%	0.10	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.05	16	61%	0.05	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01
Ira Newble	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Larry Hughes	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	19	70%	0.25	5	-0.16	5	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	14	41%	0.05	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.07
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.03	0.05	17	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Marcus Banks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	12	57%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.03	-0.03	13	31%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	12	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	28.0	32.8	24.3	2.7	35.2	149.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +27.8%

PHX +0.1%

CLE -3.6%

PHX +21.1%

PHX +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	13.0	15.4	91.1	102.0	105.7
season	16.4	13.8		104.0	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.2		106.5	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.9	14.2	15.7	15.3	15.5
PHX	11.9	13.0	12.0	15.4	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	41	40	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	13.7	16.7	-3.05	12.2	13.5	-1.27
Ira Newble	28	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-7	3	15.4	15.5	-0.09	12.6	13.2	-0.54
Damon Jones	52	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-8	5	13.7	17.3	-3.60	12.2	13.9	-1.75
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	75	75	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-12	13	16.2	13.4	2.79	14.0	10.3	3.65
Daniel Gibson	78	80	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.21	-2	-9	7	15.6	15.0	0.58	13.7	10.3	3.45
Larry Hughes	61	60	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	4	-19	16.7	13.6	3.10	13.2	12.8	0.44
Drew Gooden	80	81	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.11	-16	5	-21	15.6	15.0	0.56	12.6	14.7	-2.10
LeBron James	90	91	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.15	-18	7	-25	15.7	13.8	1.88	12.8	15.0	-2.20

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	85	83	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-6	23	13.1	12.5	0.62	15.8	14.3	1.48
Raja Bell	86	86	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-2	15	13.2	12.0	1.20	15.0	18.4	-3.41
Boris Diaw	81	80	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.07	14	-3	17	12.4	15.5	-3.15	15.5	15.5	-0.04
Shawn Marion	96	96	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	2	7	13.2	9.6	3.60	15.5	15.2	0.31
Steve Nash	73	73	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	0	11	12.9	13.3	-0.37	15.8	14.6	1.28
Leandro Barbosa	49	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	12	-13	12.3	13.7	-1.43	15.8	15.2	0.56
Brian Skinner	25	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	12	-13	14.4	12.6	1.78	15.5	15.5	-0.05
Marcus Banks	10	11	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	18	-25	15.0	12.8	2.20	13.8	15.7	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 101, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.8,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	94.0%
NYK 83, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%
MIN 94, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.84,0.96,1	93.6%