NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	107		Excitement	8.8 [159]		MVP	Kevin Durant (BKN): +49.0%
Brooklyn Nets	110		Comeback	2.8 [562]		LVP	Alec Burks (NYK): -27.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Obi Toppin	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	5	80%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.04,0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	17	65%	0.36	3	-0.22	6	83%	0.01
Jericho Sims	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,-0.02	0.17	-0.17	0.03	13	89%	0.31	3	-0.33	2	100%	0.01
Miles McBride	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	10	27%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
RJ Barrett	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.15	-0.03	-0.06	0.06	21	48%	-0.01	3	-0.15	8	87%	0.01
Alec Burks	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	9	26%	-0.14	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.49	0.49	0.19	0.30	-0.00	37	62%	0.62	5	-0.13	12	92%	0.08
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	6	67%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	-0.00	0.00	8	86%	0.27	3	-0.16	5	40%	-0.03
Cam Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	14	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	11	23%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	5	20%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.8	30.2	14.7	28.1	3.3	39.6	146.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +10.7%

BKN +4.2%

NYK -7.0%

BKN +40.3%

BKN +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BKN	NBA	NYK	BKN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.5	14.5	112.6	113.4	110.8
season	15.1	14.4		109.4	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.6		112.1	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.7	13.8	15.6	16.2	15.6
BKN	12.8	15.0	14.4	15.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jericho Sims	40	42	0.45	-0.95	1.39	-0.14	20	-23	43	17.0	14.5	2.58	16.8	12.7	4.07
Miles McBride	19	21	0.32	-0.82	1.14	-0.06	13	-16	29	14.5	15.8	-1.36	16.6	13.9	2.70
Obi Toppin	15	14	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.08	7	-10	17	16.0	15.5	0.52	18.7	13.7	4.98
Immanuel Quickley	46	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-4	5	17.6	13.7	3.89	15.6	13.4	2.20
Taj Gibson	4	3	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	3	-9	17.0	15.5	1.51	14.3	14.5	-0.12
RJ Barrett	84	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-1	-1	15.0	19.9	-4.92	14.3	16.0	-1.74
Julius Randle	75	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	0	-3	15.4	16.2	-0.81	14.0	16.2	-2.26
Evan Fournier	69	71	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.26	-14	11	-25	15.2	16.5	-1.24	13.7	16.6	-2.95
Alec Burks	74	74	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.39	-14	11	-25	15.7	15.2	0.47	13.9	16.3	-2.48
Mitchell Robinson	49	51	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.33	-17	14	-31	14.2	17.0	-2.84	12.5	16.7	-4.18

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Johnson	57	58	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.71	0	3	-3	15.8	12.5	3.24	16.1	14.7	1.40
Nic Claxton	40	40	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.69	0	3	-3	14.8	14.2	0.67	16.9	14.6	2.27
Kevin Durant	87	85	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.29	11	-8	19	14.2	16.8	-2.62	15.5	16.0	-0.49
Bruce Brown	84	83	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.25	9	-6	15	13.7	19.0	-5.25	15.6	15.4	0.16
Goran Dragic	80	77	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.42	3	0	3	14.3	15.2	-0.95	15.2	17.3	-2.12
Cam Thomas	17	16	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.14	-9	12	-21	14.6	14.4	0.16	14.9	15.7	-0.75
Patty Mills	63	61	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.15	0	3	-3	14.7	13.9	0.79	15.8	15.2	0.55
Andre Drummond	56	54	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.22	-1	4	-5	14.4	14.5	-0.10	14.9	16.5	-1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.8,0.64,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.45,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 90, SAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.76,0.36,0.69,0.72,1	91.9%
MIL 93, PHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.71,0.47,0.42,1	91.2%
WAS 94, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.65,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.68,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.61,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	91.1%