NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	93		Excitement	9.9 [75]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (MIL): +18.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	2.5 [510]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (PHI): -49.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18	0.10	0.09	0.00	12	69%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.02	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.2,-0.02	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	19	64%	0.15	5	-0.17	6	83%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	15	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	7	44%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.05
Jason Caffey	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	28%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25	-0.09	-0.16	0.00	17	46%	-0.12	4	-0.13	3	67%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	12	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	3	75%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.05
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.31,-0.31,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	0.03	0.01	25	44%	-0.01	4	-0.11	13	77%	-0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.31,-0.31,-0.43	-0.43	-0.17	-0.27	-0.01	15	34%	-0.28	4	-0.16	5	80%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.49	-0.49	-0.13	-0.37	-0.00	18	40%	-0.35	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.7	30.0	15.6	27.3	1.8	38.0	138.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -73.8%

PHI +21.6%

PHI +91.2%

MIL -12.0%

PHI +22.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	13.3	15.2	15.5	92.1	94.1	101.6
season	15.4	15.3		106.3	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.8		99.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.5	12.9	11.8	14.5	13.3
PHI	14.3	15.9	14.0	16.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	23	23	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.19	7	-9	16	13.3	13.3	0.01	15.8	15.0	0.84
Toni Kukoc	60	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.35	7	-9	16	13.8	12.6	1.18	14.6	16.0	-1.42
Ervin Johnson	40	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-5	8	14.1	12.8	1.35	15.6	14.9	0.69
Tim Thomas	68	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-2	2	13.6	12.9	0.68	15.8	13.8	1.95
Jason Caffey	55	55	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	5	-12	12.6	14.2	-1.66	14.5	15.9	-1.39
Michael Redd	58	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.46	7	-9	16	12.9	14.0	-1.11	14.8	15.6	-0.77
Dan Gadzuric	52	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	9	-20	13.6	13.0	0.57	15.0	15.3	-0.33
Ray Allen	70	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	5	-12	13.2	13.7	-0.49	15.7	14.0	1.75
Sam Cassell	79	78	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.32	-9	7	-16	13.2	13.9	-0.67	15.0	15.8	-0.84

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	75	75	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	-6	14	15.1	15.3	-0.23	13.1	14.0	-0.95
Keith Van Horn	78	80	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	-3	8	14.8	16.4	-1.57	13.5	12.9	0.61
Brian Skinner	43	41	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.42	-1	3	-4	14.8	15.4	-0.63	13.6	13.1	0.50
Allen Iverson	85	85	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	1	0	15.4	13.9	1.55	12.9	15.8	-2.94
Aaron McKie	84	84	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.32	-1	3	-4	15.7	12.4	3.40	13.1	14.4	-1.29
Todd MacCulloch	63	64	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	-4	10	15.4	14.9	0.50	13.9	12.3	1.60
John Salmons	34	34	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.12	2	0	2	13.9	15.8	-1.95	14.3	12.9	1.40
Art Long	33	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.16	-7	9	-16	15.4	15.1	0.32	12.5	13.7	-1.18
Mark Bryant	10	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	5	-8	15.6	15.1	0.47	14.6	13.2	1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.71,0.47,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 67, PHI 72	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.58,1	91.0%
UTA 62, DET 64	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.68,0.58,1	90.9%
TOR 88, CHH 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.94,0.97,0.72,0.78,0.58,1	90.2%