NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	130		Excitement	11.0 [39]		MVP	Jalen Green (HOU): +36.0%
Houston Rockets	139		Comeback	2.5 [254]		LVP	LeBron James (LAL): -50.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.15	0.10	0.00	9	89%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.14	0.11	0.04	13	77%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.10	0.02	7	85%	0.24	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Russell Westbrook	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.11,0.24,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.08	0.00	21	60%	0.09	2	-0.08	8	87%	0.04
Stanley Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Wenyen Gabriel	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Avery Bradley	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	42%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.10	-0.01	13	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.51	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.21,-0.3,-0.45,-0.51,-0.51,-0.51,-0.51,-0.51	-0.15	-0.32	0.03	26	40%	-0.36	5	-0.15	6	67%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.29,0.29,0.15,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.19	0.22	0.05	21	73%	0.42	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.05
Josh Christopher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.09	0.00	13	75%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	2	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	78%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	12	71%	0.14	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	9	71%	0.10	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	60%	0.09	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Alperen Sengun	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	0.03	20	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	13	37%	-0.09	1	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.1	2.0	27.3	16.7	30.7	2.0	36.7	0.7	10.2	151.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +53.0%

HOU +19.4%

LAL -3.3%

LAL -27.0%

HOU +7.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	12.7	14.0	14.5	109.2	116.8	110.8
season	14.3	14.4		109.5	107.5
opponent	13.9	14.2		115.7	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	11.6	10.2	12.5	17.3	13.0	12.7
HOU	14.6	13.0	13.6	13.9	17.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Johnson	57	57	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.07	7	-16	23	12.1	13.3	-1.15	14.0	14.0	-0.07
Avery Bradley	41	40	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.13	1	-10	11	14.6	11.7	2.92	14.1	13.9	0.15
Wenyen Gabriel	4	5	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.02	4	-13	17	15.5	12.6	2.87	13.4	14.0	-0.63
D.J. Augustin	46	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-5	1	14.7	11.5	3.25	13.0	14.7	-1.72
Kent Bazemore	20	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-3	-3	11.8	12.9	-1.05	12.0	14.4	-2.40
Russell Westbrook	91	89	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-7	5	12.1	14.8	-2.74	14.6	12.3	2.32
Malik Monk	89	88	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-5	1	12.5	13.5	-0.99	14.5	12.7	1.74
Austin Reaves	78	79	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	1	-11	11.7	14.6	-2.92	13.9	14.1	-0.15
Carmelo Anthony	67	67	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.30	-14	5	-19	12.6	12.9	-0.36	14.1	13.8	0.31
LeBron James	102	101	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.24	-17	8	-25	13.1	10.4	2.76	14.0	14.2	-0.26

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Green	86	86	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.37	9	0	9	14.4	12.9	1.51	12.3	13.8	-1.56
Eric Gordon	84	84	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-3	15	14.3	13.4	0.89	12.9	12.3	0.58
Kenyon Martin Jr.	90	90	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	2	5	14.3	13.0	1.32	12.0	15.0	-2.97
Alperen Sengun	91	90	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.19	6	3	3	13.9	14.2	-0.23	12.9	12.1	0.77
Kevin Porter Jr.	71	72	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	10	-11	14.3	13.6	0.70	12.1	13.7	-1.55
Garrison Mathews	44	44	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.14	6	3	3	13.3	14.4	-1.08	12.7	12.7	-0.06
David Nwaba	16	17	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	11	-13	13.2	14.1	-0.94	11.9	12.9	-0.98
Dennis Schroder	53	51	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.13	2	7	-5	12.7	15.0	-2.28	14.6	11.3	3.23
Josh Christopher	50	51	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.10	-3	12	-15	13.6	14.3	-0.76	13.4	12.2	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.75,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.47,0.61,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.8,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 112, MIL 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.69,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	90.9%
MIL 115, POR 120	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.53,0.71,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.73,0.54,0.74,0.57,0.9,0.98,1	89.9%
NYK 100, BOS 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.85,0.46,0.75,0.84,1,1,1	89.3%