NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	96		Excitement	8.1 [261]		MVP	Mike Muscala (OKC): +9.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	93		Comeback	4.0 [168]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (POR): -25.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Muscala	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.01,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.04	0.07	0.01	8	55%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Luguentz Dort	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.05	0.06	0.02	15	61%	0.16	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02
Ty Jerome	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	61%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kenrich Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Mamadi Diakite	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Josh Giddey	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	15	53%	0.13	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Maledon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	17	26%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.03	-0.00	10	65%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
CJ Elleby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Brown III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	24	40%	-0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.11	0.04	15	54%	0.01	3	-0.14	5	80%	-0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	7	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	19	34%	-0.16	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.5	23.3	14.5	27.9	2.0	41.0	132.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +50.1%

OKC +10.9%

POR -14.1%

OKC +2.9%

OKC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	POR	NBA	OKC	POR	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	14.5	98.0	94.9	110.8
season	14.4	14.6		103.2	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.4		115.6	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.9	14.7	13.5	15.3	15.1
POR	15.1	14.7	15.3	12.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Bazley	74	74	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.50	6	-3	9	14.5	16.7	-2.25	14.1	15.1	-1.04
Mike Muscala	25	26	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	-3	9	14.4	15.3	-0.82	14.0	14.5	-0.46
Kenrich Williams	48	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	4	-5	14.9	15.2	-0.39	14.8	13.9	0.82
Josh Giddey	76	75	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.36	-2	5	-7	14.7	16.4	-1.69	14.2	14.7	-0.53
Ty Jerome	42	44	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	-2	7	16.3	14.1	2.12	15.1	13.7	1.33
Tre Mann	64	63	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.18	1	2	-1	16.0	13.3	2.65	14.1	14.8	-0.77
Luguentz Dort	69	70	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	3	-3	14.0	17.4	-3.40	14.2	14.7	-0.58
Mamadi Diakite	62	61	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	4	-5	15.7	14.0	1.71	14.0	14.8	-0.81
Theo Maledon	30	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	2	-1	15.6	14.8	0.74	15.4	13.9	1.53

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Brown III	33	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	-2	1	14.7	14.1	0.59	14.0	15.6	-1.58
CJ Elleby	55	56	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.39	11	-14	25	13.4	15.5	-2.05	16.2	13.6	2.59
Ben McLemore	36	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	0	-3	15.1	13.9	1.22	14.9	15.1	-0.21
Trendon Watford	39	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	0	-3	15.3	13.7	1.61	14.7	15.3	-0.64
Jusuf Nurkic	67	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.44	6	-9	15	13.7	15.6	-1.87	15.6	13.9	1.71
Dennis Smith Jr.	32	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.00	-10	7	-17	15.7	13.7	2.01	14.3	15.4	-1.05
Anfernee Simons	76	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-8	13	13.8	16.1	-2.26	15.1	15.0	0.13
CJ McCollum	78	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.29	-9	6	-15	14.6	13.4	1.18	15.1	14.9	0.13
Tony Snell	74	74	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.33	-11	8	-19	14.2	14.9	-0.71	14.7	16.1	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 99, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.05,0.04,0	92.3%
IND 94, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.03,0,0	92.2%
POR 100, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.42,0.36,0.2,0.13,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.02,0	92.1%