NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	110		Excitement	8.8 [154]		MVP	Reggie Jackson (LAC): +74.7%
LA Clippers	111		Comeback	3.8 [397]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (LAC): -12.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0.48	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.48	0.07	0.42	0.02	19	50%	0.48	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,0.09,0.09	-0.03	0.11	-0.02	18	44%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	2	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	78%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Anthony Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	24	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Talen Horton-Tucker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Reaves	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.75	0.75	0.09	0.64	-0.02	20	60%	0.77	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.66	0.66	0.24	0.42	0.01	16	81%	0.66	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	15	61%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	8	41%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Boston Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	6	33%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.5	29.2	0.3	27.5	2.7	38.0	125.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +60.9%

LAL -15.8%

LAL -0.3%

LAC +2.3%

LAC +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	15.5	14.5	114.6	116.8	110.8
season	14.3	14.6		109.5	108.8
opponent	14.5	14.2		109.2	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.8	15.2	14.8	13.9	14.7
LAC	14.6	13.0	17.1	17.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	21	19	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.05	5	-6	11	14.2	14.8	-0.64	15.8	15.4	0.39
Carmelo Anthony	22	21	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-1	1	16.0	14.3	1.64	15.0	15.6	-0.61
Kent Bazemore	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-1	1	15.0	14.6	0.37	12.9	15.9	-3.02
Talen Horton-Tucker	41	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-1	1	15.6	14.0	1.57	16.4	14.8	1.62
Trevor Ariza	32	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.50	14	-15	29	14.3	14.9	-0.56	17.8	14.3	3.51
Stanley Johnson	48	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.17	-10	9	-19	14.5	14.9	-0.42	14.6	16.3	-1.67
Russell Westbrook	72	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-6	11	13.9	17.0	-3.03	15.4	15.7	-0.35
Avery Bradley	42	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	12	-25	14.4	14.9	-0.46	14.4	16.3	-1.87
Austin Reaves	48	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.61	7	-8	15	14.8	14.6	0.21	15.9	15.0	0.85
Malik Monk	65	65	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.43	-7	6	-13	14.9	14.3	0.63	15.6	15.2	0.35
Anthony Davis	75	76	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.52	-6	5	-11	14.8	14.2	0.64	15.4	15.8	-0.39

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris Sr.	72	71	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.48	8	-7	15	15.2	16.4	-1.21	15.1	13.4	1.69
Reggie Jackson	65	65	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.46	7	-6	13	15.3	15.8	-0.48	14.7	14.6	0.11
Terance Mann	28	30	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.66	-1	2	-3	15.6	15.4	0.19	13.0	15.4	-2.41
Nicolas Batum	51	51	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.47	3	-2	5	15.5	15.4	0.12	14.8	14.6	0.16
Serge Ibaka	67	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	-9	19	14.8	17.1	-2.32	15.7	12.5	3.18
Amir Coffey	47	46	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	-7	15	15.3	15.7	-0.39	15.1	14.3	0.73
Luke Kennard	57	58	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	6	-11	15.7	15.2	0.48	14.9	14.3	0.62
Eric Bledsoe	38	41	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	6	-11	15.6	15.4	0.18	14.8	14.6	0.16
Brandon Boston Jr.	22	23	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.04	-8	9	-17	16.3	15.2	1.10	13.3	15.1	-1.82
Isaiah Hartenstein	28	29	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.07	-12	13	-25	17.1	14.8	2.32	12.7	15.5	-2.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.75,0.96,0.89,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.58,1	92.0%
DEN 94, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.54,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.78,0.73,1	91.4%
POR 80, SAS 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.7,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.83,0.91,0.73,1	91.1%