NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	80		Excitement	7.7 [162]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +17.9%
San Antonio Spurs	81		Comeback	6.9 [112]		LVP	Mario Elie (SAS): -13.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,0.18	-0.04	0.22	0.01	7	50%	0.23	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.04
Kelvin Cato	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	9	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Brian Grant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Rider	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	14	44%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,-0.12	0.01	-0.12	0.00	15	57%	-0.08	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.09
Jim Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	7	20%	-0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	6	36%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Walt Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.00	13	62%	0.15	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.05
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.14,0.02	0.02	-0.16	0.16	-0.02	16	43%	0.08	3	-0.06	15	67%	0.11
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	1	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Avery Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	11	36%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.12	-0.00	10	58%	-0.06	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	6	38%	-0.03	1	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.5	30.3	16.5	30.5	2.5	46.2	152.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +17.3%

SAS +34.4%

POR -6.2%

POR -2.8%

SAS +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	16.6	16.5	15.8	93.0	92.0	99.6
season	16.0	15.9		102.0	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.9		92.7	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.7	17.0	17.9	13.8	16.6
SAS	14.2	18.1	17.2	16.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	31	33	0.54	-1.04	1.58	0.22	11	-12	23	12.4	18.9	-6.47	18.2	15.6	2.57
Kelvin Cato	30	31	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-6	11	14.2	17.8	-3.57	19.0	15.2	3.79
Rasheed Wallace	58	59	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.49	15	-16	31	15.0	19.8	-4.84	17.6	14.4	3.13
Greg Anthony	37	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.34	8	-9	17	13.3	19.0	-5.77	18.4	15.2	3.12
Isaiah Rider	64	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	3	-7	18.0	12.4	5.58	15.9	18.4	-2.56
Damon Stoudamire	49	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.13	-9	8	-17	19.0	13.3	5.77	15.2	18.4	-3.12
Arvydas Sabonis	37	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	12	-25	18.2	15.3	2.91	16.3	16.7	-0.47
Jim Jackson	44	46	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.83	9	-10	19	14.9	18.3	-3.33	17.3	15.7	1.64
Brian Grant	47	48	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.35	-9	8	-17	18.7	14.0	4.68	14.2	19.3	-5.05
Stacey Augmon	33	33	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.23	-18	17	-35	19.8	14.5	5.34	14.7	17.7	-3.01

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Elie	59	56	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.42	13	-12	25	15.3	19.1	-3.87	18.0	13.8	4.24
Sean Elliott	65	62	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.43	10	-9	19	15.3	20.1	-4.85	17.1	15.0	2.10
Avery Johnson	71	70	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-9	19	15.8	19.8	-3.99	17.7	11.5	6.21
David Robinson	57	56	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.36	8	-7	15	16.0	17.5	-1.45	18.6	12.7	5.87
Tim Duncan	80	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.50	2	-1	3	16.0	21.9	-5.86	16.5	17.2	-0.76
Malik Rose	15	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	3	-5	18.8	16.1	2.72	15.8	16.7	-0.92
Will Perdue	24	24	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.06	-6	7	-13	18.1	16.0	2.17	12.5	18.1	-5.69
Antonio Daniels	17	16	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.10	-9	10	-19	19.8	15.8	3.99	11.5	17.7	-6.21
Jerome Kersey	29	29	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.06	-11	12	-23	18.6	15.5	3.04	16.1	16.8	-0.74
Steve Kerr	23	25	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.03	-10	11	-21	20.8	15.0	5.80	12.4	18.3	-5.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.7,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.83,0.91,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 113, BOS 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.74,1	93.4%
DEN 94, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.54,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.78,0.73,1	92.9%
SAC 106, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.59,0.8,0.87,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.65,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.94,0.83,1	92.7%