NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	113		Excitement	7.7 [351]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BOS): +32.7%
Boston Celtics	117		Comeback	1.4 [788]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -20.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Snell	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	4	90%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	10	73%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	57%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05	0.08	-0.03	-0.01	22	60%	0.16	4	-0.11	11	64%	-0.06
Donte DiVincenzo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
John Henson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Connaughton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14	-0.01	-0.10	0.03	9	48%	-0.09	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.12
Khris Middleton	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2	-0.07	-0.16	-0.03	18	43%	-0.02	3	-0.18	1	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.17	-0.01	20	67%	0.37	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	11	77%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	-0.06	0.01	11	72%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.17	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Robert Williams III	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	11	32%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.07	0.02	15	56%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	3.3	25.6	16.4	32.5	3.6	38.2	142.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.2%

MIL -1.3%

BOS +15.4%

BOS +3.8%

MIL -5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	13.2	15.2	14.3	111.9	114.7	109.3
season	13.5	13.9		112.4	109.9
opponent	14.7	14.3		106.3	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.1	12.2	14.0	12.4	13.2
BOS	14.2	14.9	14.3	17.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte DiVincenzo	51	53	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.33	16	-20	36	12.5	13.8	-1.35	15.2	15.2	0.04
Pat Connaughton	20	20	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-6	8	12.1	13.4	-1.26	15.4	15.1	0.30
Tony Snell	34	33	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-8	12	11.3	14.1	-2.81	15.0	15.3	-0.35
John Henson	23	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	0	-4	11.5	13.7	-2.18	14.0	15.5	-1.60
Ersan Ilyasova	55	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.20	-4	0	-4	12.8	13.6	-0.75	15.4	15.0	0.43
Brook Lopez	49	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	1	-6	13.9	12.5	1.44	15.1	15.3	-0.22
Malcolm Brogdon	60	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-2	0	13.4	12.8	0.64	15.5	14.8	0.63
Giannis Antetokounmpo	73	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	0	-4	13.7	11.8	1.90	15.6	14.2	1.41
Eric Bledsoe	70	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.19	-12	8	-20	13.5	12.4	1.07	14.9	15.9	-0.97
Khris Middleton	70	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.30	-11	7	-18	14.0	11.2	2.88	15.2	15.1	0.12

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	66	65	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-10	24	15.3	15.1	0.23	13.6	12.4	1.11
Al Horford	67	66	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-7	18	14.9	15.7	-0.82	13.8	11.9	1.99
Kyrie Irving	70	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-8	20	14.7	16.4	-1.75	13.8	11.8	2.08
Semi Ojeleye	48	46	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-5	14	14.9	15.4	-0.51	14.6	12.0	2.58
Marcus Smart	61	62	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	8	-12	15.0	15.5	-0.55	12.2	14.6	-2.42
Gordon Hayward	53	54	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	2	0	16.8	13.4	3.42	14.1	12.1	1.93
Marcus Morris	54	53	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.28	-8	12	-20	14.7	15.8	-1.11	11.6	14.9	-3.35
Robert Williams III	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	4	-4	0.0	15.2	-15.21	2.0	13.3	-11.27
Terry Rozier	56	55	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.31	-12	16	-28	15.6	14.7	0.93	12.6	13.8	-1.27
Aron Baynes	35	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	8	-12	15.1	15.3	-0.18	11.9	13.8	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 80, SAS 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.7,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.83,0.91,0.73,1	93.4%
POR 97, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.95,1	92.9%
NYK 114, ORL 122	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.8%