NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	94		Excitement	7.5 [325]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +22.1%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	1.2 [1003]		LVP	Ronnie Price (UTA): -14.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	14	61%	0.14	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01	0.00	0.03	0.02	13	55%	0.09	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	13	53%	0.01	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.06
Anthony Carter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	11	59%	0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	7	58%	0.10	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Andersen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Linas Kleiza	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	8	22%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.15	0.01	18	62%	0.33	2	-0.11	4	75%	0.03
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	9	60%	0.11	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	6	69%	0.18	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.08
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	9	73%	0.17	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.01	12	46%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	31%	-0.03	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	9	27%	-0.07	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.8	27.0	15.0	25.2	2.4	40.2	140.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +4.9%

UTA +33.6%

UTA +23.1%

DEN -14.2%

UTA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	UTA	NBA	DEN	UTA	NBA
this game	13.0	16.9	15.5	96.9	102.1	106.4
season	14.4	15.3		109.5	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.7		105.4	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.2	13.9	13.4	12.6	13.0
UTA	17.0	18.2	16.1	16.2	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Renaldo Balkman	14	15	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.03	10	-14	24	15.0	12.7	2.33	17.6	16.7	0.88
Chris Andersen	41	40	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-8	12	13.7	12.5	1.12	16.7	17.0	-0.26
Juwan Howard	14	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-2	0	14.7	12.7	1.99	16.6	16.9	-0.33
Dahntay Jones	29	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-2	0	12.3	13.3	-1.00	17.6	16.6	1.01
Linas Kleiza	44	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-2	0	13.6	12.5	1.06	15.7	17.8	-2.14
J.R. Smith	71	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.37	4	-8	12	12.9	13.2	-0.25	16.8	17.0	-0.25
Nene	51	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	3	-10	13.2	12.8	0.43	17.8	15.7	2.08
Anthony Carter	72	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	0	-4	13.1	12.8	0.23	16.9	16.7	0.24
Allen Iverson	80	79	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.34	-9	5	-14	12.5	15.5	-2.98	16.7	17.6	-0.89
Kenyon Martin	69	67	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.44	-12	8	-20	12.3	14.9	-2.60	16.7	17.1	-0.36

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	67	71	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.41	14	-10	24	16.8	17.0	-0.26	13.0	13.0	-0.04
Carlos Boozer	74	75	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	1	2	16.7	17.2	-0.48	12.3	15.6	-3.34
Mehmet Okur	75	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	0	4	17.8	13.5	4.32	13.4	11.5	1.84
Ronnie Brewer	52	52	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	-2	8	15.7	18.2	-2.58	12.3	13.8	-1.51
CJ Miles	25	27	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	-5	14	16.9	16.8	0.09	13.2	12.9	0.29
Kyle Korver	49	49	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	7	-10	16.9	16.8	0.05	13.0	13.0	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	71	70	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.32	-5	9	-14	16.8	16.9	-0.09	12.9	13.2	-0.29
Paul Millsap	40	39	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	4	-4	16.5	17.1	-0.65	14.4	12.1	2.34
Brevin Knight	27	25	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.02	-8	12	-20	17.5	16.6	0.92	13.4	12.9	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.54,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 80, SAS 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.7,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.83,0.91,0.73,1	92.9%
DET 91, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.92,1	92.6%
CHI 94, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.95,0.84,0.73,1	92.4%