NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	110		Excitement	8.7 [177]		MVP	Doug McDermott (SAS): +35.4%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	11.6 [416]		LVP	Lonnie Walker IV (SAS): -14.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.35	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.21	0.16	0.01	15	80%	0.35	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.16,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	16	47%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Joshua Primo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	10	65%	0.22	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	0.08	-0.08	0.05	12	60%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Devin Vassell	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	12	27%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lonnie Walker IV	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,0,-0.15,-0.15	-0.02	-0.13	-0.00	21	49%	0.05	3	-0.20	3	67%	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.07	0.28	0.01	24	58%	0.45	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.20	0.04	0.02	16	76%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Cameron Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	10	55%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	16	59%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	83%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ish Wainright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.03,0.03,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.04	-0.00	8	62%	0.12	1	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	24.0	14.4	22.7	0.8	30.5	117.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +47.6%

SAS -4.8%

SAS -7.7%

PHX +14.4%

PHX +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.4	14.5	14.5	111.1	115.0	110.8
season	13.9	14.2		111.3	114.0
opponent	14.7	14.6		107.5	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	12.2	14.8	15.9	15.0	14.4
PHX	13.9	14.6	14.1	15.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juancho Hernangomez	32	32	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.06	6	-11	17	13.6	14.8	-1.15	14.2	14.7	-0.52
Drew Eubanks	46	46	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	14.8	14.0	0.83	14.7	14.4	0.25
Keldon Johnson	83	84	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.35	11	-16	27	13.7	17.8	-4.07	14.4	15.5	-1.14
Jock Landale	36	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	-4	3	14.8	14.2	0.63	13.3	15.2	-1.97
Doug McDermott	56	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-3	1	15.4	13.1	2.24	14.9	14.0	0.85
Joshua Primo	58	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-5	5	13.5	15.7	-2.27	14.9	14.0	0.92
Tre Jones	67	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.42	-7	2	-9	14.6	14.0	0.64	14.8	14.0	0.84
Lonnie Walker IV	53	54	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.37	-13	8	-21	14.8	13.9	0.96	14.6	14.5	0.07
Devin Vassell	64	63	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.40	-19	14	-33	14.5	14.2	0.32	14.6	14.5	0.13

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Johnson	73	72	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.33	17	-12	29	14.9	13.6	1.30	15.1	12.7	2.39
Chris Paul	81	81	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.33	14	-9	23	14.6	14.1	0.54	14.9	12.1	2.87
Ish Wainright	43	41	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.45	8	-3	11	15.0	14.2	0.73	13.7	14.9	-1.19
Mikal Bridges	84	83	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	-1	7	14.0	17.4	-3.37	14.9	11.9	2.94
Landry Shamet	34	34	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	-5	15	15.7	13.9	1.77	14.1	14.6	-0.53
Devin Booker	80	80	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.26	-12	17	-29	14.0	16.5	-2.51	13.9	16.4	-2.50
JaVale McGee	29	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.04	-2	7	-9	15.2	14.3	0.89	13.4	14.8	-1.36
Elfrid Payton	29	28	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	11	-17	15.2	14.3	0.99	13.1	14.9	-1.81
Bismack Biyombo	47	48	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.02	-10	15	-25	13.6	15.4	-1.78	14.7	14.1	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.16,0.34,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.34,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 102, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.3,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.68,0.92,1	91.2%
PHI 94, MIL 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.72,1	90.5%
DET 81, MIL 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.83,1	90.4%