NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	102		Excitement	8.3 [172]		MVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): +26.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	108		Comeback	4.1 [605]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): -22.7%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lee Mayberry	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26	0.13	0.11	-0.01	8	87%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.04	0.01	19	67%	0.19	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.05
Pete Chilcutt	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.06	-0.00	6	92%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.04	14	54%	0.03	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.07
George Lynch	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	7	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Bobby Hurley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Blue Edwards	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	11	39%	-0.02	1	-0.11	1	100%	0.02
Tony Massenburg	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	4	33%	-0.13	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.06

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.15	-0.01	17	63%	0.27	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	6	77%	0.11	0	0.00	14	86%	0.08
Gary Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	64%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Brian Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	64%	0.10	4	-0.12	8	75%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	45%	-0.01	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	0.01	-0.14	0.02	9	55%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.09	-0.02	14	20%	-0.21	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.7	28.2	15.8	28.2	2.5	43.2	142.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN -4.7%

POR +23.1%

POR +38.5%

VAN -6.4%

VAN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	POR	NBA	VAN	POR	NBA
this game	15.9	15.2	15.6	112.1	114.9	102.5
season	15.1	15.9		101.3	101.9
opponent	15.4	15.3		100.6	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.5	16.8	16.1	16.2	15.9
POR	16.1	13.7	16.6	14.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Smith	43	46	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.10	6	-12	18	15.5	16.3	-0.82	16.6	13.9	2.76
Tony Massenburg	17	16	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-1	-4	17.1	15.7	1.40	14.5	15.4	-0.87
Blue Edwards	68	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.23	2	-8	10	15.5	17.1	-1.56	15.4	14.7	0.64
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	64	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-5	4	16.1	15.5	0.58	15.4	14.7	0.68
Bobby Hurley	33	35	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	2	-10	15.5	16.2	-0.74	14.9	15.4	-0.54
Lee Mayberry	58	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-8	10	16.2	15.5	0.74	15.4	14.9	0.54
George Lynch	27	27	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-1	-4	15.5	16.1	-0.58	14.7	15.4	-0.68
Antonio Daniels	23	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	2	-10	17.1	15.5	1.56	14.7	15.4	-0.64
Bryant Reeves	74	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.30	-1	-5	4	15.7	17.1	-1.40	15.4	14.5	0.87
Pete Chilcutt	48	48	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.43	-12	6	-18	16.3	15.5	0.82	13.9	16.6	-2.76

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	37	35	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.36	14	-8	22	14.0	16.0	-2.06	16.0	15.9	0.08
Brian Grant	66	64	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.34	14	-8	22	15.0	15.9	-0.90	16.4	14.9	1.52
Kelvin Cato	47	44	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.31	3	3	0	14.3	16.2	-1.89	15.1	16.7	-1.52
Damon Stoudamire	78	75	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	1	4	15.3	14.9	0.42	15.9	16.1	-0.24
Stacey Augmon	27	26	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	-1	8	13.9	15.8	-1.87	16.2	15.8	0.43
Isaiah Rider	72	71	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.27	-5	11	-16	15.5	14.5	1.00	15.7	16.6	-0.93
Gary Grant	16	16	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	5	-4	14.9	15.3	-0.42	16.1	15.9	0.24
Arvydas Sabonis	66	65	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	9	-12	16.1	13.2	2.86	15.9	16.0	-0.11
Jermaine O'Neal	61	59	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.19	-6	12	-18	16.4	13.1	3.33	16.1	15.5	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.3,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 110, OKC 118	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.76,0.91,1	91.8%
MIL 88, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.16,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.53,0.73,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.96,1	91.8%
UTA 86, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.35,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.59,1	91.6%