NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	6.9 [459]		MVP	Kevin Durant (BKN): +44.2%
Brooklyn Nets	114		Comeback	1.1 [940]		LVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): -18.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.05	0.02	20	63%	0.24	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.01
Seth Curry	0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.03	0.04	21	69%	0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	5	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	13	46%	0.08	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Joe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	17	28%	-0.16	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.11,0.06,0.14,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.12	0.33	0.01	24	63%	0.52	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.05
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	16	50%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nic Claxton	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	9	89%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	73%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	9	50%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	14	50%	0.05	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
David Duke Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	29.8	15.4	25.3	2.4	28.3	129.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +34.3%

BKN +9.5%

BKN +20.1%

PHI -12.3%

PHI -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BKN	NBA	PHI	BKN	NBA
this game	14.5	14.5	14.5	105.0	115.2	110.8
season	15.2	14.4		112.4	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.6		112.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.8	13.5	15.2	12.5	14.5
BKN	13.2	13.1	15.4	16.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matisse Thybulle	37	35	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.12	-1	-8	7	14.2	14.6	-0.38	16.0	13.6	2.37
Andre Drummond	32	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-5	1	14.2	14.6	-0.38	14.4	14.5	-0.14
Shake Milton	70	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.33	5	-14	19	14.4	14.7	-0.31	14.9	13.4	1.54
Danny Green	84	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-9	9	14.2	15.9	-1.66	14.4	14.8	-0.43
Joel Embiid	68	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-4	-1	14.6	14.2	0.38	14.5	14.4	0.14
Isaiah Joe	55	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	5	-19	13.9	15.2	-1.27	13.7	15.4	-1.73
Seth Curry	78	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	0	-9	15.1	12.5	2.60	14.2	15.4	-1.23
Tobias Harris	76	76	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.32	-17	8	-25	14.8	13.5	1.34	14.2	15.2	-0.92

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Duke Jr.	67	68	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.13	20	-11	31	14.1	15.3	-1.25	14.5	14.5	0.02
Patty Mills	73	74	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.41	9	0	9	14.2	15.2	-0.99	14.7	13.9	0.75
Kevin Durant	78	80	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-3	15	14.5	14.2	0.35	14.7	13.4	1.29
Kessler Edwards	67	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	8	-7	14.6	14.1	0.55	14.6	14.2	0.35
Day'Ron Sharpe	26	26	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	5	-1	14.1	14.6	-0.47	16.2	13.9	2.26
Cam Thomas	51	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.14	9	0	9	15.1	13.8	1.35	14.0	15.0	-0.92
Blake Griffin	68	67	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.34	-8	17	-25	15.2	12.9	2.27	13.7	16.1	-2.36
Langston Galloway	19	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	10	-11	13.1	14.8	-1.68	15.2	14.3	0.90
Nic Claxton	46	47	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	10	-11	14.1	14.8	-0.75	13.9	15.0	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.74,0.91,0.88,0.8,0.53,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.75,0.55,0.67,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 86, SAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.95,1	91.8%
PHI 85, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.6,0.73,0.61,0.45,0.44,0.92,1	91.7%
ORL 95, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.69,0.92,1	91.5%