NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	111		Excitement	11.3 [33]		MVP	Deandre Ayton (PHX): +34.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	107		Comeback	8.8 [155]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -26.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0.35	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.35	0.13	0.24	0.02	17	72%	0.41	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.02
Cameron Payne	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24	0.03	0.20	-0.01	14	53%	0.27	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Chris Paul	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.14	-0.01	19	57%	0.27	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.02
Cameron Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.08	-0.00	14	43%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	11	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.07	0.27	0.00	17	62%	0.41	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.04
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	0.00	2	133%	0.21	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.01	11	63%	0.17	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.12
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	7	57%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.06
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	13	30%	-0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.24,0.24,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27	-0.27	-0.05	-0.18	0.03	31	46%	-0.05	4	-0.21	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.9	2.5	26.4	15.7	25.4	2.6	38.5	2.5	12.2	153.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +73.4%

POR -26.2%

POR -18.9%

PHX +9.2%

PHX +12.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	14.5	15.6	14.5	103.7	101.9	110.8
season	14.2	14.6		114.0	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.7		115.6	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	13.8	15.5	14.7	13.9	14.8	14.5
POR	13.4	15.2	16.6	16.2	18.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	77	78	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.49	13	-9	22	14.3	14.8	-0.52	15.1	17.0	-1.90
Chris Paul	84	83	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-2	8	15.0	12.7	2.30	15.1	17.2	-2.12
Cameron Johnson	65	62	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.39	2	2	0	14.2	14.9	-0.77	16.7	14.0	2.71
Deandre Ayton	90	87	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	3	-2	15.0	11.8	3.13	15.3	16.6	-1.21
Cameron Payne	67	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	3	-2	14.1	15.0	-0.87	16.9	13.4	3.52
Elfrid Payton	17	16	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	-2	8	13.4	14.7	-1.31	16.8	15.3	1.49
JaVale McGee	16	18	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	1	2	12.6	14.8	-2.23	16.6	15.3	1.21
Landry Shamet	48	48	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	2	0	13.8	15.0	-1.17	14.4	16.5	-2.05
Mikal Bridges	71	68	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.04	-14	18	-32	15.1	13.2	1.95	14.9	16.8	-1.98

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	30	31	0.46	-0.96	1.41	0.19	9	-13	22	16.5	15.2	1.37	14.8	14.3	0.54
Larry Nance Jr.	57	58	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.12	-1	-3	2	14.9	16.4	-1.48	14.2	14.8	-0.55
Ben McLemore	9	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-1	-2	16.1	15.5	0.61	10.3	14.8	-4.50
Anfernee Simons	63	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-7	10	16.8	13.7	3.02	14.1	15.0	-0.90
Robert Covington	69	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-5	6	16.2	14.3	1.90	14.1	15.1	-1.02
Nassir Little	49	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	3	-10	13.9	17.0	-3.06	15.0	14.0	0.94
Damian Lillard	92	95	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-4	4	15.5	15.6	-0.07	14.8	11.9	2.86
Jusuf Nurkic	77	78	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.49	-9	5	-14	15.6	15.5	0.07	14.9	13.1	1.81
Norman Powell	79	80	-0.98	0.48	-1.46	-0.60	-13	9	-22	15.1	17.0	-1.92	14.4	14.7	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.33,0.36,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.61,0.71,0.63,0.57,0.84,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.32,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 88, CHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.23,0.42,0	90.7%
DET 88, CLE 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.17,0.09,0	90.1%
BOS 116, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.58,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.61,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.23,0.05,0	88.6%