NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	88		Excitement	10.6 [32]		MVP	Dana Barros (DET): +38.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	81		Comeback	4.7 [137]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -71.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.38	0.07	0.31	-0.01	11	68%	0.43	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.06
Joe Smith	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	15	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.03
Jud Buechler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Mateen Cleaves	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	-0.01	4	75%	0.10	4	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	7	14%	-0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.72	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.26,-0.43,-0.43,-0.57,-0.57,-0.63,-0.69,-0.72,-0.72	-0.25	-0.48	-0.01	34	28%	-0.72	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	6	50%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.04	-0.02	17	39%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	43%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	10	40%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	7	39%	-0.19	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.05	-0.19	-0.00	9	59%	-0.08	4	-0.16	4	25%	-0.16
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.26,-0.26,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	16	41%	0.10	4	-0.35	2	100%	0.05
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.15	-0.11	0.00	10	36%	-0.13	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.8	2.5	26.4	15.7	23.1	1.7	36.2	1.5	11.2	148.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -7.2%

CLE -2.6%

DET +17.4%

DET +32.1%

DET +10.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	16.6	15.6	15.5	88.0	83.5	100.9
season	14.3	15.3		97.9	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.4		102.6	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	13.8	16.1	20.8	15.4	18.8	16.6
CLE	16.9	15.2	13.5	17.4	14.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	74	75	1.21	-0.71	1.92	0.74	16	-9	25	17.3	14.8	2.50	15.8	15.1	0.72
Joe Smith	80	79	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.41	15	-8	23	16.7	16.3	0.40	15.5	16.3	-0.84
Dana Barros	47	45	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.29	13	-6	19	16.4	16.8	-0.37	15.9	15.4	0.53
Jerry Stackhouse	83	81	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.44	8	-1	9	16.5	17.0	-0.46	15.1	18.3	-3.19
Jerome Williams	46	44	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	2	3	15.8	17.3	-1.55	16.0	15.3	0.68
Michael Curry	39	40	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.11	0	7	-7	17.8	15.9	1.93	16.2	15.3	0.94
Mateen Cleaves	23	21	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.12	-13	20	-33	17.2	16.4	0.78	14.0	16.1	-2.11
Jud Buechler	30	26	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.07	-7	14	-21	15.7	17.0	-1.31	15.5	15.7	-0.15
Mikki Moore	21	19	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.10	-8	15	-23	17.0	16.5	0.48	16.1	15.5	0.57
Chucky Atkins	57	55	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	-0.61	6	1	5	15.9	17.6	-1.65	16.0	15.2	0.85

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Brown	27	29	0.50	-1.00	1.50	0.29	7	-14	21	16.5	15.3	1.20	14.3	17.5	-3.20
Bimbo Coles	37	38	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.22	1	-8	9	16.2	15.3	0.87	15.8	17.1	-1.30
Chris Mihm	60	63	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.13	9	-16	25	15.4	16.0	-0.57	18.0	14.2	3.86
Anthony Johnson	17	20	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.06	1	-8	9	16.6	15.4	1.14	17.6	16.4	1.22
Trajan Langdon	19	21	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.32	-10	3	-13	15.6	15.7	-0.09	12.4	17.7	-5.31
Chris Gatling	8	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	0	-7	16.5	15.6	0.93	16.4	16.6	-0.21
Jim Jackson	73	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-11	15	15.8	15.3	0.48	17.1	15.2	1.91
Robert Traylor	48	47	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.65	-1	-6	5	16.1	15.2	0.98	16.6	16.6	0.03
Andre Miller	72	74	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.33	-13	6	-19	15.2	17.0	-1.82	16.7	16.4	0.27
Clar. Weatherspoon	64	66	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.31	-16	9	-25	14.9	17.1	-2.14	16.2	17.5	-1.29
Cedric Henderson	60	59	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.65	-10	3	-13	15.6	15.8	-0.17	17.7	15.0	2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.17,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 116, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.58,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.61,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.23,0.05,0	91.6%
UTA 93, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.53,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.55,0.15,0.26,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.23,0.05,0	90.6%
MIA 93, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.57,0.08,0	90.5%