inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 93 Excitement11.0 [39] MVPUdonis Haslem (MIA): +25.4%
Atlanta Hawks 88 Comeback4.1 [260] LVPAntoine Walker (MIA): -68.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Udonis Haslem0.250,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.250.080.17-0.011268%0.333-0.077100%0.11
Jason Williams0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,0.21,0.210.030.19-0.001050%0.2100.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.010.023100%0.0700.002100%0.00
James Posey0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.030,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.05,-0.16,-0.3,-0.38,-0.3,-0.11,-0.11,-0.030.01-0.05-0.002555%0.256-0.281782%0.08
Jason Kapono-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.01233%-0.001-0.052100%0.01
Dorell Wright-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.060.00520%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.06-0.011235%-0.101-0.01250%-0.02
Gary Payton-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.01-0.0170%-0.111-0.0200%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.690,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.3,-0.3,-0.69,-0.69,-0.69,-0.69,-0.69,-0.69-0.18-0.54-0.031215%-0.652-0.0320%-0.17

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.04-0.01860%0.101-0.024100%0.03
Shelden Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.070.07-0.010.07-0.01450%0.091-0.02683%0.05
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.00646%0.051-0.0410%-0.02
Cedric Bozeman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Solomon Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.02-0.02-0.060.02-0.022142%0.012-0.041145%-0.05
Salim Stoudamire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.080.00944%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.11,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.060.001638%-0.1000.00250%-0.02
Josh Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.05-0.011544%-0.053-0.07667%-0.03
Speedy Claxton0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.05-0.01714%-0.131-0.0100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.12.428.415.726.01.837.21.726.6166.8
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.01.917.4141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL -7.5%
MIA +4.0%
MIA +69.1%
ATL -20.4%
MIA +4.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAATLNBAMIAATLNBA
this game16.915.215.493.089.8104.5
season16.016.1102.4101.1
opponent15.315.6106.1104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA16.417.617.719.610.616.9
ATL15.615.114.218.212.515.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Williams64600.75-0.251.000.4610-51515.818.7-2.8815.015.6-0.58
Udonis Haslem93900.53-0.030.560.366-1716.916.40.4915.017.7-2.75
Dorell Wright38380.52-0.020.530.4041316.717.0-0.2315.615.00.58
Alonzo Mourning68650.480.020.460.229-41315.918.9-2.9815.614.51.16
Dwyane Wade92900.460.040.410.3732117.114.03.1315.116.1-0.98
Jason Kapono1919-0.020.52-0.54-0.1132114.917.3-2.3915.515.20.37
James Posey2019-0.030.53-0.550.15-611-1717.716.71.0913.915.5-1.65
Antoine Walker5758-0.050.55-0.600.01-27-918.714.54.2415.514.80.72
Gary Payton2930-0.070.57-0.64-0.1014-319.016.02.9415.815.00.83
Michael Doleac2021-0.080.58-0.650.01-38-1115.117.3-2.1614.615.4-0.77

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lorenzen Wright49490.07-0.570.65-0.075-101515.215.3-0.1217.416.31.12
Cedric Bozeman16140.03-0.530.560.12-3-2-115.415.20.2516.616.9-0.36
Josh Smith8283-0.02-0.480.460.04-2-3115.414.11.3117.912.15.74
Zaza Pachulia4750-0.06-0.440.39-0.174-91315.315.20.1417.716.01.68
Speedy Claxton3638-0.25-0.250.010.02-94-1315.615.00.6117.716.41.30
Salim Stoudamire5052-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.496-111714.416.1-1.6816.916.80.09
Shelden Williams3738-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.19-50-514.915.4-0.4516.417.1-0.70
Tyronn Lue6970-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.34-4-1-315.714.01.7416.318.2-1.93
Joe Johnson9193-0.650.15-0.81-0.36-105-1515.412.92.5516.422.7-6.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.57,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 88, CLE 810.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.17,0.09,090.5%
TOR 109, WAS 1070.5,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.61,0.72,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.1,0.02,089.6%
DEN 118, CLE 1160.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.27,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.33,0.09,089.5%