NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	109		Excitement	12.0 [11]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +56.9%
Washington Wizards	107		Comeback	5.5 [150]		LVP	Earl Boykins (WAS): -34.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.57	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.35,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.57	0.09	0.46	-0.01	25	53%	0.63	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.36	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.13,0.36	0.08	0.25	-0.03	12	67%	0.40	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Jose Calderon	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.13	0.14	-0.01	8	94%	0.31	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	10	64%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Antoine Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,0.01,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	20	38%	-0.01	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	6	25%	-0.15	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.47	0.47	0.13	0.29	-0.05	26	58%	0.52	1	-0.06	7	71%	-0.07
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.02	11	54%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.07	0.13	-0.03	16	34%	0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	11	55%	0.08	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	7	32%	0.01	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.04
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	8	33%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.35,-0.35	-0.35	-0.03	-0.32	-0.01	12	54%	-0.04	4	-0.31	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.7	2.7	31.5	15.4	22.0	2.5	39.5	1.8	18.8	159.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +39.3%

TOR +11.6%

WAS -8.8%

TOR +5.0%

TOR +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	WAS	NBA	TOR	WAS	NBA
this game	15.3	16.2	15.3	107.9	105.9	106.0
season	15.0	15.7		109.6	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.9	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	12.3	13.5	15.7	18.5	20.7	15.3
WAS	17.2	16.5	15.0	18.4	11.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	80	81	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.48	12	-10	22	15.6	14.1	1.53	16.6	14.5	2.09
Chris Bosh	74	76	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.48	11	-9	20	15.9	13.8	2.09	16.8	14.3	2.47
Jose Calderon	63	67	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.34	14	-12	26	16.5	13.4	3.07	16.6	15.4	1.24
Andrea Bargnani	81	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	-6	14	15.6	13.9	1.69	16.2	16.1	0.15
Jarrett Jack	58	56	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.59	-5	7	-12	15.4	15.1	0.29	15.4	17.1	-1.72
DeMar DeRozan	53	53	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.08	10	-8	18	14.2	16.6	-2.39	16.8	15.5	1.21
Rasho Nesterovic	9	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.06	-3	5	-8	16.4	15.2	1.25	12.9	16.4	-3.57
Amir Johnson	38	37	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.04	-11	13	-24	13.2	16.6	-3.32	15.5	16.6	-1.09
Antoine Wright	26	23	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.02	-11	13	-24	14.8	15.5	-0.62	15.3	16.4	-1.19
Marco Belinelli	23	23	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.02	-15	17	-32	13.9	15.7	-1.86	15.0	16.5	-1.58

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andray Blatche	45	47	0.55	-1.05	1.59	-0.01	19	-21	40	15.9	16.4	-0.56	14.2	16.3	-2.05
Dominic McGuire	7	7	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.18	0	-2	2	19.3	15.9	3.34	15.0	15.3	-0.33
Nick Young	48	50	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.24	-3	1	-4	16.4	16.0	0.34	14.5	16.1	-1.68
Randy Foye	13	13	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.12	9	-11	20	18.3	15.9	2.44	14.8	15.4	-0.53
JaVale McGee	10	11	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-4	6	15.5	16.3	-0.75	14.3	15.4	-1.16
Earl Boykins	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.63	10	-12	22	15.7	17.5	-1.78	15.5	14.7	0.87
Antawn Jamison	66	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.21	-12	10	-22	16.3	15.9	0.40	16.2	13.5	2.70
Caron Butler	86	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.48	-3	1	-4	16.1	16.9	-0.81	15.7	13.3	2.37
Brendan Haywood	81	78	-0.99	0.49	-1.49	-0.61	-13	11	-24	16.3	15.6	0.72	15.3	15.3	0.06
Gilbert Arenas	76	74	-1.06	0.56	-1.62	-0.50	-19	17	-36	16.0	16.6	-0.61	15.3	15.3	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.61,0.72,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 101, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.1,0.28,0	91.0%
DET 88, CLE 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.17,0.09,0	90.2%
MIA 93, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.57,0.08,0	89.6%