inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 109 Excitement12.0 [11] MVPChris Bosh (TOR): +56.9%
Washington Wizards 107 Comeback5.5 [150] LVPEarl Boykins (WAS): -34.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0.570,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.35,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.570.090.46-0.012553%0.632-0.06862%-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0.360,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.13,0.360.080.25-0.031267%0.402-0.04683%0.02
Jose Calderon0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.130.14-0.01894%0.311-0.0300%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0.120,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.02-0.001064%0.1200.00580%-0.00
Antoine Wright0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.000.04-0.01367%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Amir Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.01267%0.032-0.032100%0.01
Rasho Nesterovic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Marco Belinelli-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.04-0.0040%-0.101-0.0200%0.00
Andrea Bargnani-0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,0.01,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.07-0.032038%-0.013-0.132100%0.01
Jarrett Jack-0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.12-0.15-0.01625%-0.154-0.1100%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.470.470.130.29-0.052658%0.521-0.06771%-0.07
Nick Young0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.050.10-0.021154%0.1600.002100%0.01
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.090.09-0.070.13-0.031634%0.0900.00667%-0.03
Caron Butler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.080.080.060.030.011155%0.0800.007100%0.04
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Dominic McGuire00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.02-0.03732%0.011-0.04862%-0.04
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.07-0.00833%-0.082-0.062100%0.02
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.35,-0.35-0.35-0.03-0.32-0.011254%-0.044-0.312100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.72.731.515.422.02.539.51.818.8159.8
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.72.039.8141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +39.3%
TOR +11.6%
WAS -8.8%
TOR +5.0%
TOR +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORWASNBATORWASNBA
this game15.316.215.3107.9105.9106.0
season15.015.7109.6102.6
opponent15.315.5107.9111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR12.313.515.718.520.715.3
WAS17.216.515.018.411.416.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hedo Turkoglu80810.84-0.341.170.4812-102215.614.11.5316.614.52.09
Chris Bosh74760.80-0.301.110.4811-92015.913.82.0916.814.32.47
Jose Calderon63670.75-0.251.010.3414-122616.513.43.0716.615.41.24
Andrea Bargnani81820.53-0.030.560.308-61415.613.91.6916.216.10.15
Jarrett Jack58560.440.060.390.59-57-1215.415.10.2915.417.1-1.72
DeMar DeRozan53530.210.29-0.07-0.0810-81814.216.6-2.3916.815.51.21
Rasho Nesterovic97-0.030.53-0.570.06-35-816.415.21.2512.916.4-3.57
Amir Johnson3837-0.290.79-1.070.04-1113-2413.216.6-3.3215.516.6-1.09
Antoine Wright2623-0.300.80-1.100.02-1113-2414.815.5-0.6215.316.4-1.19
Marco Belinelli2323-0.460.96-1.42-0.02-1517-3213.915.7-1.8615.016.5-1.58

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andray Blatche45470.55-1.051.59-0.0119-214015.916.4-0.5614.216.3-2.05
Dominic McGuire770.18-0.680.850.180-2219.315.93.3415.015.3-0.33
Nick Young48500.15-0.650.800.24-31-416.416.00.3414.516.1-1.68
Randy Foye13130.14-0.640.78-0.129-112018.315.92.4414.815.4-0.53
JaVale McGee10110.01-0.510.52-0.052-4615.516.3-0.7514.315.4-1.16
Earl Boykins7374-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.6310-122215.717.5-1.7815.514.70.87
Antawn Jamison6666-0.560.06-0.63-0.21-1210-2216.315.90.4016.213.52.70
Caron Butler8685-0.570.07-0.64-0.48-31-416.116.9-0.8115.713.32.37
Brendan Haywood8178-0.990.49-1.49-0.61-1311-2416.315.60.7215.315.30.06
Gilbert Arenas7674-1.060.56-1.62-0.50-1917-3616.016.6-0.6115.315.30.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.61,0.72,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.1,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 101, DET 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.1,0.28,091.0%
DET 88, CLE 810.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.17,0.09,090.2%
MIA 93, ATL 880.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.57,0.08,089.6%