NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	94		Excitement	7.4 [366]		MVP	Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (OKC): +20.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Comeback	6.1 [162]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (SAS): -22.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.06	0.02	5	91%	0.14	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Keldon Johnson	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	16	61%	0.16	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Bryn Forbes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.01	8	87%	0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tre Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keita Bates-Diop	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Lonnie Walker IV	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.07	0.02	-0.08	0.01	14	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Devin Vassell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	12	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.05	-0.03	10	0%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22	-0.18	-0.07	-0.03	19	26%	-0.13	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.10	-0.02	9	72%	0.21	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.20	0.01	0.06	6	95%	0.16	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	9	55%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	14	43%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	7	39%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Vit Krejci	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Theo Maledon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	16	40%	-0.01	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	6	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	10	35%	-0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	1.7	29.1	15.4	25.5	2.5	28.0	122.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +19.2%

OKC +6.4%

OKC +31.8%

SAS -10.3%

OKC +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	OKC	NBA	SAS	OKC	NBA
this game	14.1	14.1	14.5	92.2	97.1	110.8
season	13.9	14.4		111.3	103.2
opponent	14.4	14.6		111.2	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	11.7	14.5	15.6	15.1	14.1
OKC	14.5	13.2	12.7	16.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tre Jones	15	16	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.00	7	-12	19	14.7	14.0	0.63	16.9	13.6	3.36
Bryn Forbes	13	13	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.01	6	-11	17	15.5	13.9	1.53	17.0	13.7	3.31
Lonnie Walker IV	57	57	0.01	-0.52	0.53	-0.28	10	-15	25	14.5	13.7	0.75	14.4	13.7	0.71
Keita Bates-Diop	14	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-3	1	13.7	14.2	-0.48	14.5	14.0	0.42
Drew Eubanks	48	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-4	3	13.8	14.4	-0.59	13.5	14.6	-1.11
Doug McDermott	41	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	4	-13	15.1	13.5	1.58	13.9	14.2	-0.30
Thaddeus Young	53	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-3	1	14.6	13.6	1.03	15.2	13.0	2.22
Devin Vassell	53	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-6	7	13.3	15.0	-1.64	14.0	14.2	-0.19
Derrick White	58	58	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	9	-23	13.7	14.7	-1.09	13.1	15.4	-2.25
Dejounte Murray	76	76	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	6	-17	14.0	14.4	-0.35	13.9	14.7	-0.78
Keldon Johnson	82	82	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.34	-10	5	-15	14.0	14.7	-0.77	13.5	16.6	-3.16

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	79	77	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.49	16	-11	27	13.6	15.7	-2.11	14.1	14.1	0.01
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	51	52	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.35	14	-9	23	14.0	14.2	-0.18	14.3	13.9	0.37
Luguentz Dort	75	74	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.33	12	-7	19	13.8	15.1	-1.31	13.9	14.6	-0.66
Darius Bazley	69	70	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.32	12	-7	19	14.0	14.4	-0.42	14.1	14.2	-0.09
Mike Muscala	30	29	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	-3	11	12.6	14.7	-2.09	14.9	13.8	1.07
Kenrich Williams	44	42	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	6	-7	13.9	14.3	-0.43	14.0	14.2	-0.30
Aleksej Pokusevski	38	38	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	2	1	13.6	14.4	-0.84	15.3	13.4	1.94
Vit Krejci	1	0	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	5	-5	0.0	14.2	-14.25	0.0	14.1	-14.13
Theo Maledon	15	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	5	-5	12.7	14.4	-1.69	13.7	14.2	-0.45
Ty Jerome	27	28	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.01	-8	13	-21	16.0	13.4	2.52	14.6	13.9	0.66
Josh Giddey	56	59	-0.49	0.99	-1.48	-0.08	-14	19	-33	15.6	12.3	3.32	13.4	15.2	-1.83
Derrick Favors	25	25	-0.52	1.02	-1.55	-0.03	-17	22	-39	16.3	13.4	2.88	13.4	14.4	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.22,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.92,0.99,0.99,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 89, NOP 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.68,0.92,1	90.4%
MIN 105, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.7,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.97,1,1,1	90.3%
CLE 86, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	90.2%