NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	89		Excitement	7.1 [396]		MVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): +21.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	95		Comeback	6.9 [137]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -16.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.2	0.12	0.10	0.01	9	77%	0.23	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Beno Udrih	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	6	73%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Nick Calathes	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.01	3	90%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	9	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0,0,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	5	58%	0.11	3	-0.20	2	50%	-0.04
Jeff Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	18	48%	0.00	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.06
Zach Randolph	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	10	29%	-0.05	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.03
Marc Gasol	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	7	40%	-0.13	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.03,0.16,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.15	0.02	6	94%	0.36	4	-0.15	5	100%	0.04
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.01	16	72%	0.23	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.03	0.15	-0.03	13	44%	0.20	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.04	0.01	21	53%	0.13	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.04	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	29.2	15.7	25.2	2.3	33.5	131.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +38.7%

NOP +3.3%

NOP +11.5%

MEM -8.1%

NOP +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOP	NBA	MEM	NOP	NBA
this game	14.6	15.3	15.1	94.7	96.0	104.2
season	15.9	15.8		103.8	106.3
opponent	15.2	15.2		106.1	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.8	14.7	15.5	15.4	14.6
NOP	15.3	13.6	15.2	17.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	10	10	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.03	7	-13	20	11.2	15.0	-3.75	18.0	15.0	3.03
Kosta Koufos	25	26	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.19	8	-14	22	14.5	14.6	-0.10	18.1	14.3	3.86
Beno Udrih	30	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-7	8	13.3	15.2	-1.89	16.3	14.8	1.58
Nick Calathes	36	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-11	16	14.3	14.7	-0.45	17.9	13.6	4.34
Jeff Green	68	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-5	4	14.5	14.6	-0.03	16.1	13.1	3.02
Courtney Lee	50	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	6	-18	15.0	14.1	0.87	13.9	16.8	-2.92
Tony Allen	63	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.35	1	-7	8	14.4	14.8	-0.38	15.1	15.6	-0.55
Zach Randolph	59	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	5	-16	15.0	13.9	1.11	14.0	17.5	-3.53
Mike Conley	60	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.14	-14	8	-22	15.3	13.2	2.11	14.4	16.9	-2.50
Marc Gasol	69	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	8	-22	14.6	14.5	0.10	14.3	18.1	-3.86

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	71	68	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.26	16	-10	26	14.7	16.8	-2.11	15.3	12.6	2.73
Tyreke Evans	76	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-6	18	14.6	17.5	-2.93	15.0	13.0	2.00
Omer Asik	60	59	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-6	18	14.8	16.0	-1.24	15.0	13.7	1.29
Anthony Davis	84	80	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	-2	10	14.8	17.7	-2.90	14.7	13.7	0.99
Norris Cole	60	56	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	6	-6	15.5	15.0	0.49	14.0	15.4	-1.41
Quincy Pondexter	69	66	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	3	0	15.9	13.7	2.21	14.4	15.0	-0.59
Dante Cunningham	19	18	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.15	-2	8	-10	17.5	14.7	2.72	13.3	14.8	-1.51
Alexis Ajinca	38	35	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	14	-22	16.4	14.6	1.82	13.7	15.0	-1.29
Elliot Williams	10	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	9	-12	15.6	15.2	0.36	12.1	14.8	-2.70
Luke Babbitt	8	8	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.05	-8	14	-22	17.1	15.1	2.02	13.2	14.7	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 86, SEA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.47,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.78,0.67,0.95,1	93.4%
GSW 125, MIL 129	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.36,0.38,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.47,0.63,0.67,0.91,1	90.7%
NJN 87, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.9,0.87,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	90.7%