NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	94		Excitement	8.9 [150]		MVP	Aaron Gordon (DEN): +34.9%
Denver Nuggets	95		Comeback	13.6 [233]		LVP	Kevin Porter Jr. (HOU): -48.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.00	5	79%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Daniel Theis	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	12	69%	0.24	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Alperen Sengun	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.05	0.00	4	90%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	7	67%	0.15	3	-0.10	4	25%	-0.05
D.J. Augustin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Armoni Brooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	9	39%	0.04	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.2	0.03	-0.23	0.00	7	59%	-0.18	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Christian Wood	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	11	46%	-0.03	4	-0.17	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	-0.49	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.49	-0.17	-0.32	-0.01	14	21%	-0.33	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.35	0.35	0.04	0.32	0.01	7	64%	0.38	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Facundo Campazzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.00	6	67%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	3	100%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.09	-0.00	10	36%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Monte Morris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.10	-0.14	-0.02	15	68%	0.19	5	-0.21	11	82%	-0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	19	39%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Dozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	7	37%	-0.09	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	27.4	14.4	30.5	2.5	28.7	130.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +48.0%

HOU -5.7%

HOU -15.5%

DEN +18.1%

DEN +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DEN	NBA	HOU	DEN	NBA
this game	14.6	14.8	14.5	94.9	97.9	110.8
season	14.4	14.8		107.5	113.4
opponent	14.4	13.9		111.6	115.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.2	14.8	13.2	16.5	14.6
DEN	12.9	15.2	14.5	17.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alperen Sengun	29	28	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.00	8	-9	17	11.6	15.8	-4.18	17.1	13.9	3.27
Armoni Brooks	8	9	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-6	11	10.9	14.9	-4.03	15.7	14.7	0.94
D.J. Augustin	19	20	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.10	7	-8	15	13.5	14.8	-1.30	16.6	14.4	2.25
Kenyon Martin Jr.	42	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-5	9	12.5	16.1	-3.52	14.8	14.8	-0.07
David Nwaba	11	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	3	-7	13.8	14.7	-0.85	11.2	15.2	-3.96
Jalen Green	62	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.26	-11	10	-21	15.5	12.9	2.60	14.3	15.8	-1.54
Christian Wood	73	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.42	2	-3	5	15.1	13.0	2.08	15.0	14.4	0.61
Jae'Sean Tate	62	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	3	-7	15.8	12.5	3.25	14.8	14.9	-0.08
Daniel Theis	65	64	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.41	-7	6	-13	15.5	12.8	2.76	13.7	17.0	-3.27
Kevin Porter Jr.	68	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.41	-8	7	-15	15.2	13.3	1.87	13.9	16.6	-2.70
Eric Gordon	56	56	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.79	3	-4	7	13.7	15.7	-1.98	16.2	12.9	3.35

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monte Morris	67	70	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.40	15	-14	29	14.0	16.6	-2.59	15.3	12.8	2.52
Will Barton	73	75	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-11	23	14.4	16.1	-1.69	15.0	13.1	1.92
Nikola Jokic	72	75	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.44	7	-6	13	14.4	16.0	-1.54	15.2	12.5	2.69
Aaron Gordon	55	57	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.38	6	-5	11	13.9	16.0	-2.13	15.3	13.5	1.79
P.J. Dozier	48	49	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.47	-2	3	-5	14.8	14.8	-0.05	13.4	15.8	-2.39
Michael Porter Jr.	14	15	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.09	8	-7	15	11.6	15.4	-3.79	19.0	13.8	5.21
Austin Rivers	17	17	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	2	-3	16.9	14.4	2.58	15.6	14.4	1.29
Jeff Green	42	42	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.09	-5	6	-11	16.0	13.9	2.13	13.5	15.3	-1.79
JaMychal Green	25	24	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.03	-6	7	-13	16.0	14.4	1.54	12.5	15.2	-2.69
Bones Hyland	32	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.09	-9	10	-19	16.5	14.0	2.52	13.5	15.1	-1.64
Facundo Campazzo	40	40	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	0.12	-20	21	-41	15.8	14.1	1.72	12.6	15.9	-3.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.72,0.72,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.47,0.37,0.09,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 86, WAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.4,0.61,0.36,0.23,0.28,1	90.5%
SAS 108, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.65,0.61,0.45,0.21,0.1,0.42,1	89.8%
POR 97, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.69,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.17,1	89.8%