NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	109		Excitement	9.3 [105]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (DAL): +59.6%
San Antonio Spurs	108		Comeback	5.1 [322]		LVP	Keldon Johnson (SAS): -28.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.60	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.6	0.13	0.45	-0.01	17	63%	0.64	2	-0.05	15	80%	0.01
Boban Marjanovic	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	10	71%	0.23	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.05
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	17	57%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	6	14%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Sterling Brown	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.05	-0.14	0.00	3	50%	-0.06	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.01,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27	-0.08	-0.19	0.00	25	44%	-0.09	4	-0.18	2	0%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	-0.00	-0.01	12	87%	0.23	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.00	5	50%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.00	10	73%	0.18	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	18	55%	0.14	3	-0.11	6	83%	-0.02
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	-0.05	10	42%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Keita Bates-Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.29	-0.29	-0.08	-0.21	0.00	18	40%	-0.08	2	-0.20	4	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	2.4	30.4	15.0	27.5	1.8	38.8	145.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS -19.9%

DAL +27.1%

DAL +45.1%

DAL +3.5%

SAS -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	14.1	13.0	14.5	101.9	102.9	110.8
season	15.6	13.9		112.4	111.3
opponent	14.6	14.5		111.0	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.1	13.0	14.7	14.8	14.1
SAS	11.6	14.2	13.5	12.8	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	81	79	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.38	17	-16	33	13.5	16.1	-2.55	13.2	12.3	0.88
Boban Marjanovic	32	30	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.24	17	-16	33	12.6	14.8	-2.22	15.5	12.0	3.49
Jalen Brunson	82	81	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.25	13	-12	25	13.6	16.0	-2.41	13.1	12.8	0.23
Dwight Powell	50	50	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.28	-1	2	-3	15.4	13.1	2.35	13.0	13.1	-0.09
Josh Green	12	11	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	-9	19	14.5	14.1	0.39	16.2	12.6	3.54
Sterling Brown	41	40	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	-6	13	14.6	13.9	0.67	14.1	12.3	1.84
Dorian Finney-Smith	80	79	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.49	-11	12	-23	14.2	13.9	0.35	12.7	13.9	-1.21
Luka Doncic	82	80	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.51	-17	18	-35	14.7	12.2	2.49	12.2	15.6	-3.45
Reggie Bullock	16	16	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	3	-5	15.1	14.0	1.15	11.2	13.3	-2.08
Frank Ntilikina	37	37	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.31	-15	16	-31	13.2	14.6	-1.43	12.6	13.2	-0.56
Willie Cauley-Stein	22	22	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	-0.03	-13	14	-27	15.4	13.8	1.53	11.0	13.5	-2.48

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonnie Walker IV	52	53	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.16	12	-13	25	12.7	13.3	-0.59	12.9	15.4	-2.54
Thaddeus Young	45	45	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.14	9	-10	19	14.9	11.6	3.25	14.6	13.8	0.78
Tre Jones	5	6	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-4	7	11.8	13.1	-1.27	11.8	14.3	-2.45
Keita Bates-Diop	10	9	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	3	-7	10.7	13.3	-2.55	14.4	14.1	0.32
Derrick White	81	83	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-5	9	12.8	13.9	-1.12	14.3	13.7	0.52
Devin Vassell	69	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.49	10	-11	21	11.6	15.8	-4.21	14.2	14.1	0.10
Drew Eubanks	46	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	11	-23	12.1	13.7	-1.56	13.4	14.7	-1.29
Bryn Forbes	22	22	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	12	-25	17.0	12.0	5.05	13.9	14.2	-0.36
Keldon Johnson	64	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.44	-1	0	-1	13.7	11.9	1.78	15.3	12.3	2.93
Doug McDermott	54	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	4	-9	13.4	12.6	0.74	15.1	13.2	1.90
Dejounte Murray	77	78	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.47	-8	7	-15	12.6	14.1	-1.45	13.7	15.4	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.82,0.77,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.63,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.46,0.39,0.15,0.09,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 90, POR 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.24,0.27,0	91.6%
GSW 116, MEM 104	0.5,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.22,0.24,0.05,0,0,0	91.4%
CHI 83, CLE 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.09,0	91.2%