NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	83		Excitement	7.9 [269]		MVP	Danny Ferry (CLE): +17.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	74		Comeback	2.4 [157]		LVP	Elton Brand (CHI): -21.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Carr	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,0.05,0.01,0.05	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	14	50%	0.13	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02
Matt Maloney	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	62%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Michael Ruffin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	3	62%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	10	69%	0.10	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Anstey	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dickey Simpkins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Randy Brown	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2	-0.11	-0.08	0.00	4	10%	-0.14	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.22	-0.09	-0.17	-0.05	22	44%	-0.11	2	-0.11	8	62%	-0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	-0.00	0.17	-0.00	6	42%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	8	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	5	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	15	50%	0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	5	58%	0.01	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	11	48%	-0.06	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	7	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	3	37%	-0.06	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	27.2	14.8	24.2	2.7	38.4	134.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +17.7%

CLE -6.7%

CHI +47.6%

CLE -14.3%

CHI +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	19.0	14.7	15.2	97.6	86.0	101.7
season	16.5	14.1		91.8	98.0
opponent	15.3	14.9		101.5	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	19.0	22.1	16.3	19.2	19.0
CLE	14.6	15.8	13.7	15.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Carr	47	49	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.18	18	-9	27	19.8	18.0	1.81	15.0	14.4	0.53
Elton Brand	74	73	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.29	11	-2	13	18.6	21.6	-3.06	14.6	15.6	-1.04
Michael Ruffin	29	28	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	1	7	21.5	17.7	3.80	16.2	14.0	2.14
Hersey Hawkins	55	53	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	6	-3	18.3	20.2	-1.89	14.8	14.7	0.06
Matt Maloney	35	37	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-4	17	20.9	17.6	3.29	16.0	13.8	2.22
Randy Brown	50	49	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	13	-17	17.6	20.9	-3.29	13.8	16.0	-2.22
Chris Anstey	20	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	8	-7	18.2	19.2	-1.02	14.7	14.7	0.01
Metta World Peace	47	47	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	11	-13	17.3	21.0	-3.71	13.9	15.8	-1.90
Corey Benjamin	23	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.11	1	8	-7	20.9	18.3	2.65	15.2	14.6	0.60
Dickey Simpkins	45	46	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	13	-17	19.1	18.9	0.19	14.5	15.0	-0.55

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	45	43	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-12	15	14.6	14.9	-0.32	18.0	20.0	-1.93
Shawn Kemp	35	37	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-15	21	15.3	14.4	0.93	19.0	19.0	-0.01
Andre Miller	42	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.15	1	-10	11	13.9	15.5	-1.57	17.4	20.6	-3.20
Lamond Murray	60	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-10	11	14.6	15.1	-0.55	17.9	21.5	-3.64
Earl Boykins	11	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.21	2	-11	13	15.1	14.7	0.41	19.9	18.8	1.09
Mark Bryant	53	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-7	5	15.1	14.2	0.89	18.3	20.2	-1.89
Bob Sura	30	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	1	-11	13.8	15.2	-1.48	19.4	18.8	0.60
Andrew DeClercq	46	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	7	-23	14.9	14.6	0.29	18.9	19.0	-0.14
Danny Ferry	38	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.23	-6	-3	-3	13.6	15.6	-2.07	20.1	18.1	1.95
Cedric Henderson	36	35	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	2	-13	15.9	13.9	2.08	21.6	17.2	4.41
Brevin Knight	34	32	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	4	-17	15.7	14.1	1.56	20.9	17.8	3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, OKC 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.3,0.2,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.41,0.1,0	92.5%
PHI 101, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.21,0.23,0.41,0	92.5%
MIL 91, ORL 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.08,0	92.4%