NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	110		Excitement	7.7 [321]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (SAC): +37.0%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	4.1 [125]		LVP	Terence Davis (SAC): -12.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.37	0.09	0.30	0.02	18	61%	0.39	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.21	0.12	0.10	0.00	17	70%	0.37	4	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Richaun Holmes	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	8	67%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tyrese Haliburton	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	11	65%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Alex Len	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	100%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Davion Mitchell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	36%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	20	38%	0.01	2	-0.05	7	43%	-0.05
Maurice Harkless	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terence Davis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	7	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	12	75%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.11	0.02	12	62%	0.20	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	12	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,-0.03	-0.03	0.09	-0.10	0.02	28	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.06	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	10	25%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	27.0	14.8	25.2	2.7	32.8	129.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +60.8%

SAC +3.2%

PHX -5.8%

PHX -5.4%

PHX -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	13.8	14.5	110.0	104.9	110.8
season	14.0	14.2		109.2	114.0
opponent	14.7	14.6		107.5	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.2	13.6	13.2	17.2	14.8
PHX	15.4	13.0	14.5	12.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davion Mitchell	37	39	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.45	9	-6	15	16.2	13.9	2.24	14.0	13.6	0.37
Harrison Barnes	81	83	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	-1	5	14.6	15.5	-0.96	13.6	14.4	-0.79
Buddy Hield	54	57	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	0	3	15.3	14.1	1.27	14.3	13.2	1.11
Tyrese Haliburton	76	77	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	4	-5	14.6	15.2	-0.60	13.0	16.1	-3.11
Maurice Harkless	52	51	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	-2	7	14.5	15.0	-0.48	14.7	12.9	1.82
De'Aaron Fox	77	78	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	3	-3	14.6	15.4	-0.83	13.8	13.7	0.09
Alex Len	38	39	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.18	1	2	-1	14.6	14.9	-0.32	13.9	13.7	0.16
Richaun Holmes	61	61	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.09	-1	4	-5	14.7	14.8	-0.12	14.2	13.2	0.97
Terence Davis	24	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	8	-13	13.9	15.0	-1.15	12.1	14.3	-2.19

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deandre Ayton	71	72	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.01	8	-11	19	13.5	14.4	-0.88	14.8	14.6	0.20
Abdel Nader	13	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-1	-1	13.6	13.8	-0.18	10.2	15.4	-5.11
Elfrid Payton	26	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.12	2	-5	7	14.7	13.5	1.23	14.9	14.7	0.18
Mikal Bridges	70	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.36	6	-9	15	13.6	14.1	-0.42	14.9	14.3	0.57
Jae Crowder	68	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-4	5	13.7	13.9	-0.12	14.9	14.5	0.33
JaVale McGee	30	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	5	-13	14.9	13.3	1.55	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Devin Booker	76	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.45	4	-7	11	13.6	14.4	-0.82	15.2	13.5	1.70
Landry Shamet	42	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	4	-11	13.4	14.1	-0.71	14.9	14.6	0.32
Chris Paul	66	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	7	-17	14.0	13.4	0.64	14.1	15.9	-1.79
Cameron Johnson	48	46	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.55	-9	6	-15	13.7	13.9	-0.20	15.5	14.1	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 110, WAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%
POR 108, BKN 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%
NYK 121, NJN 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	93.9%