NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	107		Excitement	9.3 [113]		MVP	Landry Shamet (BKN): +46.7%
Miami Heat	109		Comeback	9.3 [112]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (BKN): -33.9%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Shamet	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47	0.26	0.20	-0.00	15	88%	0.49	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Joe Harris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	12	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Nicolas Claxton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Alize Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	36%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Kyrie Irving	-0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.34	-0.07	-0.25	0.02	19	45%	-0.20	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.05

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.22,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.23	0.23	-0.06	0.28	-0.01	16	57%	0.55	7	-0.32	5	60%	-0.04
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	9	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Nunn	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	13	65%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	-0.00	17	49%	0.13	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.12	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	9	61%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	13	35%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KZ Okpala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	3	0%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.4	29.4	15.4	25.2	2.6	30.5	131.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +33.8%

MIA +7.9%

MIA +28.9%

BKN -23.1%

MIA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIA	NBA	BKN	MIA	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	14.4	110.3	114.7	111.3
season	14.1	14.6		116.6	109.3
opponent	14.9	14.6		110.4	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.6	14.4	13.2	16.0	14.5
MIA	15.4	15.0	16.2	15.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	51	51	0.68	-1.18	1.86	0.27	14	-16	30	14.8	14.2	0.59	16.1	14.7	1.37
Kevin Durant	8	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	1	-4	16.0	14.4	1.61	15.7	15.5	0.29
Landry Shamet	75	75	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.44	12	-14	26	14.5	14.8	-0.32	15.3	16.1	-0.78
Alize Johnson	24	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	3	-8	13.9	14.7	-0.86	14.0	15.9	-1.84
Nicolas Claxton	50	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	1	-4	13.8	15.3	-1.46	15.2	15.8	-0.62
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	35	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	3	-8	13.5	15.1	-1.54	14.1	16.2	-2.13
Joe Harris	63	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-1	0	15.4	13.0	2.39	16.2	14.1	2.18
Bruce Brown	59	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	1	-4	14.5	14.6	-0.09	15.8	14.9	0.95
Kyrie Irving	75	72	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.34	-8	6	-14	15.2	12.1	3.09	15.7	14.7	0.98
Jeff Green	45	43	-1.02	0.52	-1.54	-0.79	-8	6	-14	13.7	15.3	-1.60	15.1	15.8	-0.67

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	62	63	1.17	-0.67	1.84	0.64	18	-16	34	15.1	16.3	-1.21	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Bam Adebayo	64	67	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.35	9	-7	16	15.2	16.2	-1.01	15.0	13.5	1.49
Andre Iguodala	51	53	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.58	1	1	0	15.7	15.2	0.56	15.3	13.5	1.79
Trevor Ariza	68	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	3	-4	15.9	14.4	1.45	15.0	13.5	1.49
Duncan Robinson	67	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.45	-5	7	-12	15.7	15.0	0.74	14.6	14.3	0.34
KZ Okpala	24	25	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	-4	10	14.1	15.9	-1.82	13.4	14.9	-1.52
Dewayne Dedmon	31	30	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	9	-16	16.2	15.2	1.01	13.5	15.0	-1.49
Tyler Herro	50	50	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.13	-4	6	-10	15.4	15.6	-0.18	13.6	15.5	-1.83
Kendrick Nunn	58	60	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.21	-7	9	-16	15.6	15.3	0.31	14.5	14.5	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.76,0.76,0.6,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 101, GSW 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.22,0.15,0.42,1	89.6%
BOS 87, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.38,0.11,0.23,0.16,1	89.6%
DET 86, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.42,1	89.3%