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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 129 Excitement7.9 [283] MVPJrue Holiday (MIL): +36.6%
Sacramento Kings 128 Comeback1.2 [810] LVPPat Connaughton (MIL): -6.0%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jrue Holiday0.370,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.32,0.370.170.16-0.032367%0.392-0.02367%-0.02
Brook Lopez0.290,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.250.060.011393%0.2900.002100%0.01
Bobby Portis0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.120.040.001082%0.201-0.032100%0.01
Bryn Forbes0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.04-0.00580%0.121-0.0300%0.00
Donte DiVincenzo0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04-0.000.01-0.02960%0.073-0.042100%0.01
Khris Middleton0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.070.03-0.071641%0.113-0.087100%0.04
Jordan Nwora0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.02-0.00350%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.02-0.01250%0.042-0.0600%0.00
Jeff Teague-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Pat Connaughton-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.06-0.00-0.060.00845%-0.0600.00475%0.01

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terence Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.34,0.34,0.340.340.240.170.061496%0.392-0.0500%0.00
Buddy Hield0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.100.12-0.031279%0.293-0.0400%0.00
Chimezie Metu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00757%0.0400.0000%0.00
Delon Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.00850%0.0300.004100%0.03
Tyrese Haliburton0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.01-0.011346%0.0200.0000%0.00
Richaun Holmes0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.020.01775%0.093-0.102100%0.01
De'Aaron Fox0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01-0.010.04-0.050.002451%0.063-0.075100%0.03
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.03-0.01945%-0.0200.002100%0.02
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00540%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.324.614.726.22.336.7131.1
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +15.8%
MIL +10.5%
MIL +22.9%
MIL +1.1%
SAC -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILSACNBAMILSACNBA
this game13.414.314.4122.9124.3111.3
season13.514.0114.8112.2
opponent14.414.7115.9109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL11.913.614.613.913.4
SAC14.313.615.413.814.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jrue Holiday80790.53-0.030.560.327-61313.513.20.2714.912.02.88
Brook Lopez65640.420.080.340.246-51113.812.80.9715.212.62.63
Donte DiVincenzo70700.370.130.250.3410113.213.9-0.7014.414.00.33
Pat Connaughton68670.340.160.170.39-23-513.513.40.0714.713.41.28
Bobby Portis44440.320.180.140.098-71513.413.5-0.0313.614.7-1.15
Jordan Nwora29280.200.30-0.110.113-2513.913.30.6214.214.3-0.05
Jeff Teague39380.130.37-0.230.082-1313.613.30.2713.015.0-1.94
Bryn Forbes33330.120.38-0.270.0910113.413.5-0.0314.114.3-0.28
Thanasis Antetokounmpo19170.050.45-0.410.22-67-1311.214.0-2.8013.214.5-1.29
Khris Middleton78750.030.47-0.440.47-1516-3113.613.00.5513.516.1-2.60

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chimezie Metu3131-0.01-0.490.48-0.072-3513.214.7-1.5113.413.5-0.09
Delon Wright3941-0.04-0.460.43-0.154-5913.414.7-1.3112.913.8-0.85
Maurice Harkless4649-0.08-0.420.34-0.111-2313.315.0-1.7512.913.9-0.99
Terence Davis5052-0.16-0.340.17-0.5212-132513.415.1-1.7313.713.20.41
Tyrese Haliburton7070-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.371-2314.513.70.8213.812.80.97
Buddy Hield6869-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.34-21-314.813.21.5513.413.6-0.25
Harrison Barnes7474-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.420-1114.314.10.2614.012.11.96
Richaun Holmes5758-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.04-1312-2515.013.31.6313.413.5-0.11
De'Aaron Fox8081-0.620.12-0.75-0.33-109-1914.912.02.9613.214.2-0.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.48,0.38,0.27,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.19,0.22,0.43,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 105, MIL 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.38,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.09,092.5%
CHA 107, IND 1030.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.26,092.4%
CLE 101, PHX 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.28,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.24,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.28,092.3%