NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	107		Excitement	7.7 [277]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +19.6%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	1.4 [487]		LVP	Marquis Daniels (IND): -25.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.05	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	8	48%	0.13	3	-0.08	13	46%	-0.05
Nazr Mohammed	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	13	53%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jason Richardson	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	18	53%	0.09	2	-0.04	13	92%	0.06
Jared Dudley	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	13	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Raymond Felton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	16	50%	0.08	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.2	0.20	0.22	-0.00	0.02	24	66%	0.22	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.13	-0.00	9	50%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	6	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	23	43%	-0.09	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Ronald Murray	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	9	45%	-0.02	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.25	-0.25	-0.13	-0.12	0.00	9	27%	-0.16	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	1.7	28.5	15.7	28.1	2.5	39.3	142.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -4.6%

CHA +38.5%

CHA +26.9%

IND -11.4%

CHA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	14.9	14.2	15.4	109.2	103.0	105.7
season	15.8	13.8		103.1	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.1		105.6	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.5	13.5	15.6	16.0	14.9
IND	14.3	13.7	15.0	14.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	86	88	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	-2	8	14.8	15.1	-0.26	14.1	15.2	-1.15
Matt Carroll	73	76	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.43	1	3	-2	14.8	15.2	-0.41	14.3	14.0	0.26
Emeka Okafor	56	57	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.24	7	-3	10	13.2	17.0	-3.83	14.7	13.6	1.11
Raymond Felton	84	84	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.37	2	2	0	15.3	12.1	3.25	14.3	14.0	0.29
Jason Richardson	82	85	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	4	-4	14.5	16.9	-2.49	14.6	12.3	2.24
Ryan Hollins	28	27	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	2	0	16.1	14.3	1.80	13.6	14.5	-0.84
Nazr Mohammed	50	51	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	4	-4	15.9	13.7	2.21	13.8	14.7	-0.93
Earl Boykins	31	32	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	2	0	15.1	14.8	0.30	13.8	14.4	-0.58

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawne Williams	4	4	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-5	6	22.2	13.9	8.34	16.5	14.8	1.71
Kareem Rush	19	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-6	8	14.7	14.1	0.61	16.2	14.6	1.60
Ronald Murray	44	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	1	-6	14.1	14.3	-0.23	14.7	15.0	-0.24
Jermaine O'Neal	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.16	-2	-2	0	13.5	14.8	-1.36	15.3	14.6	0.71
Travis Diener	56	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-5	6	14.3	14.1	0.23	15.0	14.7	0.24
Jeff Foster	60	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	2	-8	15.2	12.7	2.53	14.6	15.2	-0.58
Marquis Daniels	51	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-3	2	13.7	14.8	-1.01	15.1	14.6	0.50
Danny Granger	74	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-5	6	13.9	15.2	-1.23	15.2	14.0	1.15
Mike Dunleavy	85	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-2	0	14.4	13.1	1.30	14.7	15.7	-0.96
Troy Murphy	65	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	5	-14	13.7	15.3	-1.61	14.0	16.4	-2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, CHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.16,0	92.9%
PHI 100, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.04,0	92.9%
LAL 96, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.05,0	92.8%