NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	5.4 [774]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +12.2%
Chicago Bulls	88		Comeback	1.5 [437]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -30.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	7	79%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	76%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	87%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	-0.09	13	37%	0.06	2	-0.08	4	50%	0.01
Marc Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	17	44%	-0.03	5	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Allen Iverson	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19	-0.20	-0.00	-0.01	23	40%	-0.08	5	-0.11	9	67%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	42%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	0.02	15	53%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	59%	0.01	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	10	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.31	-0.31	-0.14	-0.16	0.01	13	43%	-0.03	6	-0.27	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	33.0	16.4	26.3	2.8	41.2	145.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +22.5%

PHI +11.9%

PHI +2.7%

PHI +13.6%

CHI -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	15.8	15.5	100.0	92.6	104.0
season	13.9	15.1		101.1	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.8		98.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	13.6	15.1	16.8	14.9
CHI	17.1	15.2	16.9	14.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	72	75	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.27	12	-7	19	15.1	14.0	1.13	15.8	15.7	0.07
Samuel Dalembert	66	70	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	-5	15	14.6	15.6	-0.96	16.1	14.9	1.19
Marc Jackson	65	63	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	-1	7	14.7	15.3	-0.64	15.5	16.3	-0.79
Andre Iguodala	66	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	3	-1	15.2	14.2	0.97	15.8	15.6	0.16
Allen Iverson	75	77	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.39	-4	9	-13	15.0	14.5	0.46	15.7	16.1	-0.44
Kenny Thomas	55	56	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.34	-6	11	-17	15.4	14.1	1.38	15.9	15.6	0.29
Aaron McKie	36	34	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	2	1	14.4	15.2	-0.83	15.6	15.8	-0.17
John Salmons	30	32	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	3	-1	14.0	15.3	-1.24	15.9	15.7	0.27
Josh Davis	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	5	-5	0.0	14.9	-14.87	4.0	15.9	-11.88

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	23	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.31	10	-15	25	12.8	16.7	-3.87	16.8	14.3	2.44
Adrian Griffin	21	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.31	9	-14	23	11.9	16.9	-4.95	17.4	14.2	3.14
Eric Piatkowski	34	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.32	8	-13	21	13.8	16.8	-3.01	15.4	14.6	0.73
Ben Gordon	26	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-1	-3	16.8	15.4	1.45	14.8	14.9	-0.08
Andres Nocioni	31	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	16.8	15.3	1.51	13.7	15.4	-1.73
Antonio Davis	43	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	1	-7	17.1	14.6	2.48	13.9	15.7	-1.82
Kirk Hinrich	79	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.43	6	-11	17	15.8	15.4	0.46	15.4	12.1	3.26
Tyson Chandler	47	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	5	-15	16.0	15.6	0.39	14.0	15.8	-1.80
Eddy Curry	46	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	6	-17	16.8	14.8	2.03	15.0	14.7	0.31
Luol Deng	64	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.32	-1	-4	3	15.3	16.8	-1.51	15.4	13.7	1.73
Chris Duhon	61	59	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	0.02	-22	17	-39	16.8	13.9	2.97	13.8	16.8	-3.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 120, MIN 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.22,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.09,0	95.1%
MEM 102, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	94.6%
LAL 100, CHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%