NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	120		Excitement	6.0 [578]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (LAL): +16.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	117		Comeback	1.2 [980]		LVP	Earl Clark (LAL): -7.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.02	-0.00	10	69%	0.16	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14	0.05	0.07	-0.01	21	65%	0.28	6	-0.14	6	67%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	13	58%	0.13	4	-0.08	17	41%	-0.07
Pau Gasol	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	12	65%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jodie Meeks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	76%	0.13	6	-0.14	7	86%	0.02
Steve Blake	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	12	56%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	7	73%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	15	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	8	48%	0.00	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	13	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	12	52%	0.03	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.02
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	14	53%	0.03	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	29.5	15.6	26.3	2.4	40.0	140.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +56.0%

MIN -8.2%

LAL +9.3%

MIN -9.3%

LAL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	13.5	13.4	15.4	113.2	108.3	104.1
season	14.9	15.6		106.0	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.3		103.4	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.3	12.9	13.7	13.4	13.5
MIN	14.0	13.7	14.6	11.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	75	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	-1	5	13.5	13.7	-0.23	13.7	12.6	1.02
Pau Gasol	82	82	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.37	3	0	3	13.6	13.5	0.06	13.2	14.0	-0.78
Kobe Bryant	83	86	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.39	2	1	1	13.6	13.3	0.31	13.2	14.0	-0.73
Steve Nash	80	81	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.42	-4	7	-11	12.9	15.4	-2.49	13.5	13.0	0.44
Dwight Howard	75	78	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.42	-4	7	-11	13.0	14.8	-1.78	13.5	13.1	0.37
Steve Blake	49	49	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	-5	13	14.4	12.8	1.64	13.4	13.3	0.14
Antawn Jamison	55	56	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-4	11	14.2	12.8	1.43	13.5	13.2	0.27
Earl Clark	31	30	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	4	-5	13.7	13.5	0.23	12.6	13.7	-1.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexey Shved	29	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-4	5	14.0	13.1	0.86	13.9	13.4	0.53
Greg Stiemsma	18	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	1	-5	11.8	13.7	-1.91	11.3	14.0	-2.67
Jose Juan Barea	52	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-4	5	13.5	13.2	0.25	14.4	12.8	1.58
Chase Budinger	58	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-7	11	12.2	14.7	-2.44	12.9	14.2	-1.30
Dante Cunningham	46	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.32	4	-7	11	12.2	14.2	-1.97	12.7	14.1	-1.40
Derrick Williams	62	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	4	-11	14.2	12.2	1.97	14.1	12.7	1.40
Luke Ridnour	61	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-2	1	13.7	13.0	0.69	13.0	14.3	-1.26
Andrei Kirilenko	59	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	7	-17	14.0	12.6	1.43	14.1	12.9	1.27
Ricky Rubio	65	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	1	-5	13.1	13.7	-0.62	13.2	14.0	-0.75
Nikola Pekovic	90	88	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.43	1	-4	5	13.7	11.8	1.91	14.0	11.3	2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.22,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 93, CHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.16,0	95.1%
SEA 102, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
MIN 87, LAC 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%