NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	5.3 [734]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +11.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	97		Comeback	1.4 [741]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): -15.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	13	66%	0.13	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Ed Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	75%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	13	62%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Tony Wroten	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.03	10	48%	-0.02	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03
Jerryd Bayless	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	31%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	12	44%	-0.02	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.05	0.01	19	61%	0.10	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.04
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.12	-0.05	0.10	17	64%	0.03	2	-0.07	8	100%	0.02
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	0.06	8	52%	-0.01	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	10	36%	-0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	5	29%	-0.07	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	27.9	14.8	29.2	2.5	41.3	142.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +54.3%

POR -8.0%

POR -11.9%

MEM +12.5%

MEM +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	POR	NBA	MEM	POR	NBA
this game	14.4	16.7	15.4	110.9	104.3	104.1
season	16.5	15.8		102.9	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.6	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.2	13.6	16.3	13.8	14.4
POR	15.2	21.4	17.1	13.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	71	72	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.32	4	1	3	14.2	15.3	-1.10	16.3	18.0	-1.76
Tony Allen	48	48	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	-1	7	14.7	14.2	0.48	15.6	17.8	-2.24
Tayshaun Prince	55	56	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	3	-1	14.9	13.7	1.22	14.8	19.6	-4.78
Mike Conley	69	70	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.36	-2	7	-9	14.3	14.9	-0.58	15.8	19.5	-3.71
Jerryd Bayless	55	56	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.30	-1	6	-7	13.5	15.8	-2.35	16.0	17.7	-1.68
Ed Davis	47	47	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	3	-1	13.7	15.2	-1.41	18.0	15.3	2.70
Zach Randolph	50	51	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	-1	7	16.0	12.6	3.34	18.3	14.8	3.51
Tony Wroten	23	23	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	-2	9	14.9	14.3	0.58	19.5	15.8	3.71
Quincy Pondexter	42	42	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.14	1	4	-3	14.1	14.7	-0.54	18.6	15.1	3.52

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Freeland	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	0	-5	19.6	16.3	3.34	11.1	14.9	-3.80
Meyers Leonard	32	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-3	1	17.7	16.1	1.57	13.6	14.9	-1.34
Eric Maynor	53	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.35	6	-11	17	15.3	18.5	-3.27	13.7	15.5	-1.77
Will Barton	20	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	1	-7	18.3	16.2	2.12	14.7	14.4	0.38
Nicolas Batum	81	81	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.43	6	-11	17	15.8	22.5	-6.67	14.6	13.1	1.53
LaMarcus Aldridge	77	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.49	7	-12	19	16.1	19.7	-3.70	15.2	10.5	4.66
Damian Lillard	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-2	-1	16.3	18.3	-1.97	14.1	16.1	-2.06
JJ Hickson	48	45	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	10	-25	19.1	14.1	5.04	15.4	13.5	1.85
Wesley Matthews	67	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.16	-13	8	-21	16.8	16.5	0.26	14.6	14.0	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0,0,0	95.1%
IND 99, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0	94.8%
PHI 93, CHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.16,0	94.6%