NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	5.9 [600]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +8.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	1.4 [1028]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (LAC): -18.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.04,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	22	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Fred Hoiberg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	15	61%	0.04	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	52%	0.00	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Antonio Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	56%	-0.01	1	-0.01	6	33%	-0.06
Mark Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	3	60%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	10	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	9	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	16	53%	0.07	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	43%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	11	41%	-0.08	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	10	36%	-0.15	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.09
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	15	41%	-0.11	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.2	24.5	15.5	27.4	1.7	31.2	127.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +13.3%

IND +6.8%

IND +8.1%

IND +20.5%

IND +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAC	NBA	IND	LAC	NBA
this game	15.2	15.5	15.6	106.5	96.8	102.5
season	16.0	15.5		105.3	101.0
opponent	15.1	16.1		109.2	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.0	13.7	14.3	15.7	15.2
LAC	12.0	17.7	16.3	16.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rik Smits	58	60	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-4	15	15.0	15.4	-0.37	14.8	16.5	-1.66
Mark Jackson	59	62	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	-1	9	14.9	15.6	-0.66	14.8	16.6	-1.80
Dale Davis	47	49	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-6	19	14.7	15.7	-0.99	15.2	15.7	-0.49
Reggie Miller	63	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	1	5	15.2	15.2	-0.04	14.5	17.6	-3.01
Derrick McKey	60	60	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	10	-13	15.3	14.9	0.36	15.7	15.0	0.73
Chris Mullin	29	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	0	7	14.8	15.4	-0.60	15.6	15.4	0.20
Jalen Rose	50	49	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	10	-13	15.7	14.5	1.19	15.3	15.7	-0.37
Fred Hoiberg	30	29	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	6	-5	15.2	15.2	0.04	17.6	14.5	3.01
Travis Best	34	33	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	8	-9	15.6	14.9	0.66	16.6	14.8	1.80
Antonio Davis	35	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	11	-15	15.4	15.0	0.37	16.5	14.8	1.66

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stojko Vrankovic	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-5	3	15.4	15.5	-0.04	12.3	15.4	-3.12
Keith Closs	4	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-3	-1	17.2	15.4	1.87	14.2	15.2	-1.03
Pooh Richardson	21	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-1	-5	18.0	14.7	3.26	14.5	15.4	-0.90
Eric Piatkowski	56	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-4	1	14.4	17.0	-2.56	15.2	15.1	0.12
Lamond Murray	59	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-1	-5	14.8	16.5	-1.71	15.2	15.2	-0.02
Lorenzen Wright	82	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-7	7	15.5	15.5	-0.09	15.5	13.3	2.19
Darrick Martin	74	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-6	5	14.7	18.0	-3.26	15.4	14.5	0.90
James Robinson	41	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-2	-3	16.8	14.5	2.27	15.0	15.3	-0.23
Maurice Taylor	65	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-6	5	16.0	14.4	1.60	15.0	15.6	-0.64
Rodney Rogers	66	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	0	-7	15.5	15.3	0.27	15.4	14.7	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 105, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.26,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.0%
MIN 117, MIL 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0	94.9%
SAS 101, NOH 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%