NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	4.6 [861]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +16.3%
Chicago Bulls	88		Comeback	1.3 [1018]		LVP	Metta World Peace (CHI): -15.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.04	-0.02	17	70%	0.19	1	-0.03	22	59%	-0.06
Mark Madsen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	9	45%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Penberthy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rick Fox	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	5	80%	0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.J. Guyton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	6	100%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	8	70%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	10	25%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	55%	-0.02	1	-0.02	12	75%	-0.02
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Steve Goodrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	15	41%	-0.08	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.04
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	10	32%	-0.10	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	31.4	15.4	30.4	2.4	28.6	132.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +49.2%

CHI -0.2%

LAL +4.0%

CHI -0.1%

CHI -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHI	NBA	LAL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.8	16.8	15.5	112.4	100.0	100.9
season	15.6	16.4		106.8	95.2
opponent	15.1	15.2		104.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.2	15.0	15.4	18.8	15.8
CHI	16.5	17.0	17.3	16.3	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	76	75	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.07	19	-7	26	15.0	20.4	-5.41	16.2	20.3	-4.13
Horace Grant	50	48	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	-1	14	14.4	17.6	-3.20	16.6	17.0	-0.35
Shaquille O'Neal	73	74	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-2	16	15.1	18.9	-3.87	16.8	16.9	-0.09
Rick Fox	56	56	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.03	13	-1	14	15.0	17.1	-2.16	16.5	17.3	-0.83
Brian Shaw	50	49	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	6	0	14.6	17.3	-2.75	16.4	17.3	-0.85
Isaiah Rider	23	24	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	7	-2	17.0	15.3	1.67	20.2	15.5	4.65
Robert Horry	21	21	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	6	0	15.8	15.8	-0.00	19.3	16.0	3.29
Devean George	33	32	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	13	-14	17.1	15.0	2.16	17.3	16.5	0.83
Greg Foster	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	26.7	15.2	11.50	9.5	17.1	-7.63
Mike Penberthy	29	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	16	-20	18.9	14.2	4.70	16.0	17.2	-1.22
Mark Madsen	30	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.17	-7	19	-26	18.3	14.5	3.88	16.5	16.9	-0.42

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	9	8	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-16	20	15.9	16.9	-1.00	15.5	15.8	-0.29
Marcus Fizer	30	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.16	3	-15	18	17.5	16.4	1.09	16.6	15.3	1.30
A.J. Guyton	42	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.14	2	-14	16	17.7	16.0	1.73	18.1	13.6	4.50
Steve Goodrich	9	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-10	8	14.1	17.1	-2.98	12.5	16.2	-3.68
Dalibor Bagaric	7	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-12	12	11.3	17.3	-5.97	18.6	15.5	3.14
Corey Benjamin	21	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-11	10	18.1	16.4	1.72	15.7	15.8	-0.09
Fred Hoiberg	75	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-4	-4	17.0	15.4	1.64	15.7	15.9	-0.20
Jamal Crawford	59	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-4	-4	15.2	20.1	-4.95	15.2	16.8	-1.61
Brad Miller	59	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	0	-12	17.5	15.4	2.04	15.5	16.4	-0.91
Elton Brand	67	68	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.00	-17	5	-22	16.9	16.3	0.59	15.2	17.7	-2.49
Metta World Peace	62	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.02	-21	9	-30	17.0	16.3	0.68	15.4	16.5	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 92, GSW 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.5%
CLE 118, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
LAC 98, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	95.0%