NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	92		Excitement	4.7 [845]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): +12.3%
Golden State Warriors	79		Comeback	1.2 [409]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (GSW): -23.4%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	17	72%	0.16	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	11	71%	0.14	4	-0.10	2	50%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	5	62%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.03	-0.05	14	46%	0.10	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	4	36%	-0.07	2	-0.01	3	67%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	18	52%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Bob Sura	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	11	60%	0.06	6	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	17	49%	-0.03	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	11	9%	-0.14	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	24.6	16.5	26.3	2.4	29.1	123.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +49.8%

VAN +4.9%

GSW -19.1%

VAN +15.0%

GSW -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	GSW	NBA	VAN	GSW	NBA
this game	16.0	15.8	15.5	103.4	85.9	100.9
season	15.6	15.0		97.4	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.1		104.8	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	16.3	14.5	15.9	17.5	16.0
GSW	17.2	15.5	16.1	14.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Dickerson	73	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.06	19	-6	25	16.1	15.8	0.24	15.9	15.4	0.49
Bryant Reeves	50	52	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	5	3	16.4	15.5	0.93	17.2	14.1	3.08
Stromile Swift	27	27	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	5	3	15.9	16.1	-0.18	18.9	14.5	4.40
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	81	84	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	9	-5	16.3	13.4	2.90	15.5	19.6	-4.17
Mike Bibby	69	71	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.09	6	7	-1	15.8	16.6	-0.82	15.7	16.1	-0.36
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	20	22	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	6	1	16.6	15.8	0.82	15.4	16.0	-0.59
Tony Massenburg	35	35	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	11	-9	15.5	16.3	-0.82	15.4	16.1	-0.62
Grant Long	50	53	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	5	3	15.3	16.9	-1.53	14.7	17.3	-2.55
Erick Strickland	40	41	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	10	-7	16.2	15.8	0.43	14.8	16.7	-1.91

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	8	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-10	7	13.5	16.0	-2.54	13.1	16.3	-3.11
Adonal Foyle	47	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.09	-3	-10	7	17.1	14.4	2.68	15.3	16.9	-1.60
Corie Blount	24	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-6	-1	15.5	15.9	-0.37	16.7	15.8	0.98
Mookie Blaylock	61	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-6	-1	14.5	18.4	-3.83	15.7	16.6	-0.89
Vonteego Cummings	35	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-4	-5	16.9	15.1	1.77	16.4	15.7	0.70
Larry Hughes	59	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-6	-1	14.7	17.8	-3.08	16.4	15.3	1.09
Bob Sura	62	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-3	-7	16.1	15.3	0.81	16.1	15.9	0.17
Antawn Jamison	87	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-3	-7	15.8	16.0	-0.20	15.8	19.2	-3.38
Marc Jackson	77	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	-4	-5	16.5	12.3	4.24	16.4	13.9	2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 100, CHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
NOP 126, TOR 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.48,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
CHH 102, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%