NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	126		Excitement	6.0 [665]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): +18.8%
Toronto Raptors	110		Comeback	1.4 [264]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): -13.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.05	19	69%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.20	0.02	0.05	18	79%	0.19	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Julius Randle	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	12	59%	0.11	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Cheick Diallo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.04	0.04	20	60%	0.05	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.20	0.02	0.04	12	79%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.03	16	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	20	44%	0.01	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	13	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Malachi Richardson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	9	20%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.4	28.6	15.4	25.4	2.4	28.7	128.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +47.2%

TOR -12.5%

NOP +23.0%

TOR -7.7%

TOR -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	TOR	NBA	NOP	TOR	NBA
this game	14.2	14.3	14.3	124.8	108.9	109.3
season	13.4	14.3		110.2	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.2		105.9	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	11.4	14.3	15.0	16.3	14.2
TOR	15.8	15.1	13.2	13.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	72	75	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.09	21	-5	26	14.7	12.9	1.87	14.7	13.1	1.67
Anthony Davis	84	85	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-1	18	14.2	13.9	0.31	14.4	13.9	0.45
Jrue Holiday	81	81	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	1	14	14.3	13.8	0.43	14.6	13.1	1.45
Julius Randle	70	71	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.12	15	1	14	15.1	12.3	2.80	15.0	12.6	2.44
Darius Miller	51	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	10	-4	12.6	15.8	-3.25	13.5	15.2	-1.75
Cheick Diallo	45	44	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	14	-12	12.7	15.4	-2.72	13.0	15.3	-2.25
Wesley Johnson	40	39	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	12	-8	15.1	13.6	1.45	16.3	13.1	3.16
Tim Frazier	15	14	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	15	-14	13.5	14.3	-0.78	14.8	14.2	0.54
Ian Clark	47	45	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.04	-1	17	-18	14.5	13.9	0.58	12.2	16.0	-3.82

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malachi Richardson	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	13.5	14.3	-0.83	15.3	14.2	1.17
Greg Monroe	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	13.5	14.3	-0.83	15.3	14.2	1.17
CJ Miles	18	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-14	12	13.9	14.4	-0.45	11.1	14.9	-3.82
Lorenzo Brown	15	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-17	18	12.3	14.7	-2.41	14.3	14.2	0.16
Danny Green	45	45	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-14	12	14.7	14.0	0.71	16.0	12.7	3.25
Delon Wright	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-13	10	13.1	15.0	-1.96	12.7	15.0	-2.32
Jonas Valanciunas	36	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-11	6	13.7	14.7	-0.97	12.3	15.2	-2.84
Serge Ibaka	55	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	-6	-4	15.0	13.5	1.46	14.8	13.5	1.25
Pascal Siakam	56	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.03	-10	-6	-4	15.5	12.8	2.70	14.7	13.5	1.24
OG Anunoby	53	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-7	-2	12.8	16.0	-3.17	14.2	14.2	-0.03
Fred VanVleet	51	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-4	-8	13.7	15.0	-1.31	12.8	15.5	-2.73
Kawhi Leonard	68	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-1	-14	14.9	13.2	1.69	15.0	12.5	2.45
Kyle Lowry	68	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.07	-17	1	-18	15.2	12.4	2.81	14.8	13.1	1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.48,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 92, GSW 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%
TOR 93, CHA 76	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.8%
DEN 108, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0	94.5%