NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	118		Excitement	4.8 [872]		MVP	CJ Miles (CLE): +13.4%
Orlando Magic	94		Comeback	1.4 [963]		LVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): -13.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.06	0.01	10	73%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.03	9	77%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Tyler Zeller	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	0.00	0.08	10	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	0.01	0.08	8	64%	0.01	0	0.00	12	83%	0.02
Kyrie Irving	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	16	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	5	17%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
DeQuan Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	12	55%	0.07	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	13	45%	0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.04
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	10	58%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	10	40%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.05	0.03	12	50%	-0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	1.7	25.8	15.7	25.7	2.5	31.3	129.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +7.0%

CLE +2.7%

CLE +22.1%

CLE +16.2%

CLE +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	15.5	16.3	15.4	129.7	104.4	104.1
season	15.5	15.5		102.5	100.3
opponent	15.3	15.2		107.7	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.2	19.4	15.3	14.2	15.5
ORL	15.2	17.6	17.5	15.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Zeller	44	44	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.06	21	3	18	17.0	14.2	2.74	17.6	15.0	2.59
Dion Waiters	45	46	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.13	22	2	20	16.9	14.2	2.67	17.8	14.7	3.10
Tristan Thompson	44	44	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	9	6	15.9	15.2	0.67	17.3	15.3	2.01
Wayne Ellington	42	42	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.30	21	3	18	15.9	15.2	0.68	16.3	16.2	0.08
Alonzo Gee	44	43	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	15	-6	15.7	15.4	0.32	17.4	15.3	2.16
CJ Miles	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.25	15	9	6	15.2	15.8	-0.56	14.7	17.5	-2.82
Kyrie Irving	56	55	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	21	-18	15.4	15.8	-0.47	16.5	15.9	0.57
Luke Walton	34	33	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	22	-20	15.1	15.8	-0.67	16.2	16.4	-0.17
Kevin Jones	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.20	7	17	-10	15.5	15.6	-0.09	13.1	16.8	-3.75
Shaun Livingston	46	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.08	2	22	-20	14.2	16.9	-2.67	14.7	17.8	-3.10
Marreese Speights	47	46	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.15	3	21	-18	14.2	17.0	-2.74	15.0	17.6	-2.59

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doron Lamb	21	22	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.08	0	-24	24	12.1	17.6	-5.41	17.3	15.0	2.29
Kyle O'Quinn	27	28	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.20	9	-33	42	14.1	17.2	-3.16	16.1	15.3	0.82
DeQuan Jones	40	41	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.08	-1	-23	22	14.3	17.9	-3.54	15.6	15.5	0.04
Tobias Harris	49	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.18	-10	-14	4	14.6	18.3	-3.73	15.1	16.1	-1.03
Beno Udrih	53	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-22	20	15.5	17.4	-1.85	14.8	16.6	-1.78
E'Twaun Moore	48	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	-8	-8	17.6	14.7	2.91	16.2	14.8	1.40
Andrew Nicholson	38	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	-7	-10	18.6	14.6	3.96	16.1	15.2	0.95
Arron Afflalo	54	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.23	-22	-2	-20	17.7	14.1	3.63	15.6	15.5	0.11
Nikola Vucevic	53	53	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.14	-23	-1	-22	18.1	13.6	4.48	15.3	15.9	-0.57
Maurice Harkless	67	67	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	0.40	-38	14	-52	16.6	15.4	1.21	15.0	17.0	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 100, CHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
VAN 92, GSW 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.9%
LAC 98, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	94.7%