NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	101		Excitement	7.4 [351]		MVP	Juancho Hernangomez (MIN): +14.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Comeback	168.5 [12]		LVP	John Wall (HOU): -65.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben McLemore	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.02	-0.01	15	70%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	5	100%	0.09	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Jae'Sean Tate	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Wilson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,-0.01,-0.03	0.13	-0.15	0.01	16	63%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
John Wall	-0.66	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.36,-0.45,-0.66	-0.30	-0.39	-0.04	25	27%	-0.40	7	-0.26	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.02	0.03	10	79%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.01	0.03	5	117%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	14	52%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.08,0,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.11	0.01	26	48%	0.19	5	-0.14	8	87%	0.08
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	17	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jaylen Nowell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	14	28%	-0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.00	7	12%	-0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	25.5	15.3	25.3	1.8	34.0	129.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +1.2%

MIN +15.4%

HOU -0.6%

MIN +35.6%

HOU -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	13.8	13.9	14.4	97.1	102.9	111.3
season	14.1	14.1		106.2	108.7
opponent	14.0	14.0		113.9	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.4	11.7	14.5	16.0	13.8
MIN	12.8	15.0	16.1	11.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Wilson	27	26	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	-4	2	13.7	13.9	-0.23	12.5	14.3	-1.76
D.J. Augustin	45	44	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.23	-8	2	-10	14.8	13.1	1.66	12.9	14.6	-1.72
Kenyon Martin Jr.	51	53	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.23	-9	3	-12	14.6	13.1	1.55	13.4	14.3	-0.94
Ben McLemore	81	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.55	5	-11	16	13.1	16.5	-3.39	13.7	14.3	-0.62
Sterling Brown	77	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.38	-4	-2	-2	13.9	13.6	0.28	14.3	12.7	1.56
Jae'Sean Tate	83	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.47	-2	-4	2	13.3	16.1	-2.83	14.1	12.7	1.43
Christian Wood	77	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	-2	-2	13.9	13.7	0.23	14.3	12.5	1.76
John Wall	79	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.37	-6	0	-6	14.1	13.0	1.05	14.2	12.9	1.28

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juancho Hernangomez	62	61	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.27	19	-13	32	12.4	16.0	-3.68	14.8	12.5	2.30
Jaylen Nowell	68	66	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.32	15	-9	24	12.8	15.9	-3.07	14.1	13.4	0.70
Karl-Anthony Towns	75	74	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.37	9	-3	12	14.5	12.1	2.43	13.9	13.7	0.19
Ricky Rubio	58	59	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	1	4	14.1	13.6	0.52	13.9	13.8	0.10
Jordan McLaughlin	46	45	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.10	1	5	-4	13.6	14.1	-0.52	13.8	13.9	-0.10
Naz Reid	39	40	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.01	-7	13	-20	12.7	14.5	-1.78	12.7	14.5	-1.81
Jarred Vanderbilt	30	33	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.02	-9	15	-24	16.4	12.8	3.62	13.3	14.1	-0.78
Anthony Edwards	70	72	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.06	-12	18	-30	14.9	11.8	3.11	13.5	14.6	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.14,0.18,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.37,0.57,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, MIA 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.33,0.58,1	90.5%
NOP 93, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.29,0.39,0.25,0.28,0.77,0.83,1	90.3%
SAS 91, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.39,0.46,0.55,0.84,1	90.2%