NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	93		Excitement	7.0 [397]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +25.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	30.4 [60]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -32.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.20	0.06	0.00	20	70%	0.26	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.22	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	19	33%	-0.19	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.07
Tyreke Evans	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.32	-0.16	-0.20	-0.04	18	32%	-0.24	4	-0.08	5	40%	-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.13	-0.00	4	73%	0.20	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.16	0.02	18	55%	0.24	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	18	55%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	71%	0.13	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	13	55%	0.11	3	-0.12	3	0%	-0.04
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	2	125%	0.04	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	27.0	15.3	22.7	1.7	34.9	129.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +90.5%

NOP -0.2%

NOP -7.8%

NOP -33.6%

POR +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	POR	NBA	NOP	POR	NBA
this game	14.9	16.1	15.1	98.9	110.9	104.2
season	15.8	15.3		106.3	106.5
opponent	15.0	15.2		102.7	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.7	13.0	15.4	19.1	14.9
POR	16.1	17.8	16.6	13.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	31	30	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.14	-1	-8	7	14.9	14.9	-0.02	17.2	15.5	1.63
Luke Babbitt	22	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-6	3	13.8	15.3	-1.49	14.9	16.4	-1.57
Darius Miller	11	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-8	7	14.5	15.0	-0.52	15.1	16.2	-1.06
Jeff Withey	14	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-3	-3	14.1	15.1	-0.99	15.2	16.2	-1.06
Austin Rivers	32	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	5	-19	15.4	14.7	0.70	15.1	16.5	-1.43
Anthony Davis	72	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.41	3	-12	15	15.0	14.5	0.54	16.4	14.9	1.57
Jrue Holiday	77	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-5	1	14.7	15.9	-1.18	16.1	15.9	0.16
Eric Gordon	65	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-9	9	15.4	13.8	1.62	17.0	13.9	3.03
Tyreke Evans	75	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.31	-5	-4	-1	14.9	14.9	-0.04	16.1	15.9	0.22
Ryan Anderson	71	70	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.24	-14	5	-19	15.0	14.8	0.18	15.4	18.2	-2.78

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	56	57	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.20	27	-18	45	14.8	18.1	-3.32	16.1	13.1	3.02
Robin Lopez	52	52	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.38	4	5	-1	16.2	15.8	0.43	15.2	14.5	0.75
Wesley Matthews	68	68	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.37	2	7	-5	16.4	15.0	1.44	15.0	14.8	0.15
LaMarcus Aldridge	68	70	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.37	0	9	-9	16.4	15.0	1.44	15.1	14.3	0.84
Damian Lillard	68	70	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	11	-13	16.5	14.7	1.78	14.4	16.4	-2.02
CJ McCollum	33	35	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.18	14	-5	19	14.6	16.9	-2.28	16.5	14.0	2.50
Joel Freeland	22	23	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.08	7	2	5	15.5	16.2	-0.68	14.8	14.9	-0.12
Will Barton	12	12	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	7	-5	15.2	16.2	-1.03	13.1	15.2	-2.10
Chris Kaman	40	42	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.14	5	4	1	15.8	16.2	-0.43	14.5	15.2	-0.75
Allen Crabbe	41	41	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	-0.02	-14	23	-37	17.5	14.9	2.65	13.0	16.4	-3.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.29,0.39,0.25,0.28,0.77,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 88, SAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.4,0.19,0.46,0.69,0.74,1	91.6%
WAS 86, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.35,0.28,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.92,1	90.2%
SAS 85, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.45,0.84,0.85,1	90.2%